Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Juan Soto and the New York Mets hit the field on Saturday at Yankee Stadium against Clarke Schmidt, who is the named starter for the New York Yankees. First pitch will be at 1:05 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Yankees are -134 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Mets (+114). The Yankees are favored on the run line (-1.5). A 10-run total is set in the game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and SNY

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Mets 46%

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 24 out of the 37 games, or 64.9%, in which they've been favored.
• The Yankees have a record of 21-10, a 67.7% win rate, when they're favored by -134 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Yankees have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have won in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• The Mets have been named as an underdog of +114 or more just one time this season and left with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .414 average, he also is their premier power option with 15 home runs and 41 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Judge is second in homers and first in RBI.
• Judge takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with three doubles, four home runs, seven walks and eight RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt has 11 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks while batting .349.
• Goldschmidt ranks 100th in home runs and 51st in RBI on the season.
• Goldschmidt has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .421 with three doubles, a home run and six RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .276 with a double, a triple, 12 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ben Rice is hitting .254 with 10 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso leads the lineup with a batting average of .303, and paces the Mets in home runs, with nine and runs batted in with 36.
• In all of MLB, Alonso ranks 25th in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Soto is hitting .252 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 36 walks.
• Soto ranks 35th in home runs and 90th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with nine long balls.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .233 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Yankees

New York Mets