Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers take on Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, in the final of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The Royals are +140 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Tigers (-167). Detroit is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +132 odds). The total for the game has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Royals vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Detroit Tigers' 6-5 win over the Kansas City Royals.

Tigers vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -167 +140 7.5 -102 -119 -1.5 +132 -157

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Royals 4, Tigers 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 52%, Royals 48%

Tigers vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won seven, or 50%, of those games.
  • Detroit has played as favorites of -167 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The Tigers have a 62.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Royals have come away with 11 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has played as an underdog of +140 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
KC 1 · DET 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Kansas City Royals
KC
Detroit Tigers
DET

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
  • The Tigers' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 9
ERA 3.68
K/9 8.1

Tigers Player Insights

  • Mark Canha has gone yard five times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 15 runs, both totals that lead the Tigers.
  • Canha ranks 34th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Canha carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .353 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and seven RBI.
  • Greene has shown off his power as he paces his team with five home runs.
  • Greene is 34th in homers and 108th in RBI on the season.
  • Kerry Carpenter has racked up a team-high batting average of .277.
  • Spencer Torkelson is batting .214 with eight doubles and 10 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+125)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+220)
Mark Canha 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+190)
Matthew Vierling 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 6
ERA 3.75
K/9 7.2

Royals Player Insights

  • Perez leads the lineup with a batting average of .350, while pacing the Royals in home runs, with seven and runs batted in with 26.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Perez is sixth in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Perez brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .382 with three doubles, two home runs, six walks and nine RBI.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .310 with eight doubles, four triples, four home runs and seven walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Witt Jr. ranks 54th in homers and 51st in RBI.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .220 with five doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
  • Maikel Garcia is hitting .222 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs and nine walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+185)
Maikel Garcia 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+250)
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Adam Frazier 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+370)

Royals vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Detroit Tigers' 6-5 win over the Kansas City Royals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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