Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

The Baltimore Orioles and Jackson Holliday hit the field at Tropicana Field against Christopher Morel and the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday. The Orioles are -106 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Rays (-114). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collect RBIs to bring the Rays within a run of the Orioles

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collected RBIs to bring the Tampa Bay Rays within a run of the Baltimore Orioles.

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Orioles 49%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 29, or 50.9%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 26-21, a 55.3% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Orioles have been victorious in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 10-9 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Rays were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz is the Rays best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .271 clip along with 10 homers and 51 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 143rd in homers and 80th in RBI.
• Morel has shown his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 53 RBI.
• Morel is 28th in home runs in baseball, and 69th in RBI.
• Morel enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with two walks.
• Brandon Lowe is hitting .256 with 13 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
• Jose Caballero has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .238.
• Caballero is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run and three RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .286.
• Henderson ranks seventh in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 34 home runs and 78 runs batted in.
• Santander ranks fourth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
• Ryan O'Hearn has 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.

Orioles Team Props

Jackson Holliday CLOBBERS a solo home run to extend Orioles' lead over Rays

Jackson Holliday clobbered a solo home run to extend the Baltimore Orioles' lead over the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles