Rays vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 29

Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays square off against Dylan Crews and the Washington Nationals on Friday at 6:45 p.m. ET in the first game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Rays as -145 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +121 moneyline odds. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been listed in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 29, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and FDSSUN

Rays vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Nationals 48%

Rays vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 64 times and won 37, or 57.8%, of those games.
• This season Tampa Bay has won 11 of its 23 games, or 47.8%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Nationals have come away with 49 wins in the 116 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 30 times in 80 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Rays' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Caminero is the Rays best power hitter, crushing 39 homers this season in addition to accumulating 94 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Caminero is sixth in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .286 to pace his team.
• Diaz ranks 43rd in homers and 35th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Diaz has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .474 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.
• Brandon Lowe has 13 doubles, 26 home runs and 33 walks while batting .264.
• Chandler Simpson is hitting .297 with 11 doubles, three triples and 18 walks.

Rays Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Nationals are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with a team-leading batting average of .267.
• In all of the majors, Abrams ranks 84th in homers and 109th in RBI.
• Abrams carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• James Wood been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 83 runs batted in.
• Wood is 22nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 17th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .262 with 25 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 23 walks.
• Josh Bell is hitting .229 with 12 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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