Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 13

The Philadelphia Phillies will send a hot-hitting Kyle Schwarber to the plate against the San Diego Padres and Fernando Tatis Jr., who has been on a tear in recent games, when the teams take the field on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -133 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Padres (+112). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the contest is set at 7 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 13, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Padres 49%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 47 (63.5%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 38-17 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -133 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Padres have been victorious in 23, or 50%, of the 46 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, San Diego has won 16 of 34 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 47.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 4-4 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Phillies have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber is the Phillies best power option, hitting 30 homers this season in addition to delivering 69 RBI, both team highs.
• Schwarber's home runs put him fifth in MLB, and he ranks eighth in RBI.
• Trea Turner is hitting .291 to lead his team.
• Turner ranks 100th in home runs in MLB, and 95th in RBI.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .276 with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
• Castellanos is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a home run and two RBIs.
• Alec Bohm has 12 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 22 walks while hitting .281.

Phillies Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado leads the lineup with a batting average of .289, while pacing the Padres in home runs, with 17 and runs batted in with 56.
• Machado ranks 29th in homers and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Tatis is batting .266 with 13 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 49 walks.
• Tatis is currently 40th in home runs and 84th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Luis Arraez is batting .283 with 17 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Gavin Sheets is batting .265 with 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks.

Padres Team Props

Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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