Phillies vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 12

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres hit the field on Saturday at PETCO Park against Zack Wheeler, who will start for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch will be at 7:35 p.m. ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Phillies are listed as -167 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Padres (+139). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

Phillies vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 7:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 6, Phillies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Padres 49%

Phillies vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 47 out of the 73 games, or 64.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 25-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 62.5% chance to win.
• The Padres have come away with 22 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, San Diego has been victorious four times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 30 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 69 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks 91st in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
• Schwarber takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .263 with three doubles, five home runs, five walks and 12 RBIs.
• Trea Turner has a club-high .292 batting average.
• Turner ranks 100th in home runs and 94th in RBI in the majors.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .276 with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 20 walks.
• Castellanos has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a home run and two RBIs.
• Alec Bohm is batting .282 with 12 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 22 walks.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three walks and an RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 3-1 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Machado leads the Padres with 17 home runs and 55 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .292.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Machado is 29th in homers and 28th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 49 walks.
• Tatis ranks 38th in homers and 84th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Luis Arraez has 17 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 18 walks while batting .282.
• Gavin Sheets is batting .265 with 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 27 walks.

Padres Team Props

Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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