Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 23

Updated Aug. 23, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

James Wood and the Washington Nationals will take the field on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park against Aaron Nola, who is the named starter for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 6:05 p.m. ET. The Nationals are +210 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Phillies (-260). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -133 odds). The matchup's over/under has been set at 10.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -260 +210 10.5 -110 -110 -1.5 -133 +112

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Nationals 42%

Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 64 out of the 104 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia is 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -260 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 72.2%.
  • The Nationals have won in 49, or 44.1%, of the 111 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Washington has a mark of 2-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +210 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 32.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Phillies' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 16
ERA 4.81
K/9 10.5

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 45 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 109 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
  • In all of MLB, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Trea Turner is batting .300 to lead his team.
  • Turner ranks 122nd in homers and 68th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Bryce Harper is batting .263 with 28 doubles, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
  • Harper has at least one base hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with two home runs, four walks and seven RBIs.
  • Bryson Stott has 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 43 walks while hitting .250.
  • Stott has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (-130) - 0.5 (-115)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+140)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+130) 1.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+135)
J.T. Realmuto 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+120)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+100)

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 6-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Nationals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 8
ERA 5.26
K/9 7.5

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with a .265 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abrams ranks 85th in homers and 119th in RBI.
  • Wood has hit 26 home runs with 83 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Wood is currently 17th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Luis Garcia has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks while hitting .258.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .229 with 12 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+180)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+150)
James Wood 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Daylen Lile 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+185)

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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