Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 19

Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to get the better of Edward Cabrera, the Miami Marlins' starting pitcher, on Thursday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Marlins are listed as +120 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-142). Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the game has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, June 19, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Marlins 48%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 39 out of the 61 games, or 63.9%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 29-12, a 70.7% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 24, or 38.7%, of the 62 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 18 times in 47 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Phillies have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has racked up a team-high 22 home runs and 53 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Schwarber ranks fourth in home runs and 10th in RBI.
• Trea Turner has a club-leading .304 batting average.
• Turner is 83rd in homers in the majors, and 83rd in RBI.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .281 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Castellanos is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Alec Bohm has 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 14 walks while batting .291.
• Bohm brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 4-5 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Marlins have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez has seven doubles, six home runs and 21 walks while hitting .230.
• Lopez's home run total places him 156th in MLB, and he ranks 148th in RBI.
• Kyle Stowers has hit 10 home runs with 34 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Stowers ranks 61st among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 83rd in RBI.
• Eric Wagaman has 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks while batting .249.
• Agustin Ramirez paces the Marlins with 10 long balls.

Marlins Team Props

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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