Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 14

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to defeat Lars Nootbaar and the St. Louis Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday at 6:15 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -188 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Cardinals (+156). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is listed in this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 14, 2025 at 6:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSMW

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cardinals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Cardinals 47%

Phillies vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 20, or 60.6%, of the 33 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has a record of 8-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -188 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 65.3%.
• The Cardinals have been victorious in 15, or 53.6%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• St. Louis has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +156 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 7-3 record from the 10 games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the total three times.
• The Phillies have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber has a team-best 14 home runs and 32 runs batted in.
• Schwarber ranks first in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with two home runs, a walk and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .232 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Harper ranks 43rd in homers and 52nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Trea Turner leads the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .306.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .259 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Cardinals are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Nootbaar has swatted a team-high six long balls.
• In all of the big leagues, Nootbaar ranks 63rd in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
• Nootbaar carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Brendan Donovan is batting .312 to lead the lineup.
• Donovan is currently 157th in homers and 87th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nolan Arenado is hitting .264 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.
• Willson Contreras paces the Cardinals in home runs (six) and runs batted in (23).

Cardinals Team Props

Cardinals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals