Padres vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

David Morgan is starting for the San Diego Padres on Sunday against Marcus Semien and the Texas Rangers. First pitch is at 9:10 p.m. ET at PETCO Park. The Padres are favored in this one, at -131, while the underdog Rangers have +110 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +157 odds). The total for the contest has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Texas Rangers!

Padres vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 9:10 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 4, Rangers 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Rangers 45%

Padres vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 27, or 60%, of the 45 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has entered 35 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 22-13 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 56.7% chance to win.
• The Rangers have been victorious in 14, or 31.8%, of the 44 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Texas has come away with a win four times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres went 3-2 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado comes into Sunday's game hitting .292 with 52 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Padres. He has also launched 14 home runs in 2025.
• Machado is 44th in home runs and 31st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Machado has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 15 home runs lead his team.
• Tatis ranks 39th in home runs in MLB, and 94th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .290 with 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 17 walks.
• Arraez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks while batting .264.
• Sheets is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two walks.

Padres Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rangers and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rangers have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Semien is batting .234 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 37 walks.
• In all of the big leagues, Semien ranks 127th in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Josh Smith has a club-high .286 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Smith is 143rd in home runs and 215th in RBI.
• Wyatt Langford has 13 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Adolis Garcia has collected a team-leading 49 runs batted in.

Rangers Team Props

Orioles vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Texas Rangers!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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