Mets vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 29

Frankie Montas takes the mound for the New York Mets on Sunday at PNC Park against Nick Gonzales and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 1:35 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Mets are -143 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Pirates (+120). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +109 odds). The total for the matchup is listed at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, June 29, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and WPIX

Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Pirates 49%

Mets vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 39, or 66.1%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 25-14 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 58.8% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 23, or 39.7%, of the 58 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 12 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has homered 20 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .258 with 47 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks ninth in home runs and 34th in RBI.
• Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with three home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has a club-leading 65 RBI and .294 batting average.
• Alonso ranks 14th in home runs and fourth in RBI in the majors.
• Alonso has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with two doubles and an RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .255 with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-3.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has put up a team-best 13 home runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz ranks 41st in home runs and 126th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 44 RBI.
• Reynolds ranks 106th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates' lineup with a .265 batting average.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 12 walks while batting .276.

Pirates Team Props

Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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