Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 12

Pete Alonso and C.J. Abrams will be among the star attractions when the New York Mets face the Washington Nationals on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. The Mets have been listed as -223 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+183). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, June 12, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Nationals 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 63%, Nationals 37%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 35 out of the 50 games, or 70%, in which they've been favored.
• New York is 12-2 this season when entering a game favored by -223 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 69%.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (48.3%) in those games.
• This season, Washington has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +183 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets won all of the six games they played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Mets are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso's 17 long balls and 63 RBI both lead the Mets, on top of his team-high .302 average.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso's home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him first.
• Alonso brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .375 with three doubles, six home runs, four walks and 20 RBIs.
• Juan Soto has 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .252.
• Soto is 21st in home runs and 56th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Soto carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .526 with a double, two home runs, five walks and four RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .282 with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
• Lindor will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles and two RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .236 with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood leads the squad with a batting average of .274, and leads the Nationals in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 45.
• In all of the majors, Wood is 10th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Abrams is hitting .264 with 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 13 walks.
• Abrams is 69th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 157th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .262 with 15 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe has 11 doubles, nine home runs and 22 walks while hitting .227.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Washington Nationals