
Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 26
Juan Soto and Matt Olson are the hottest hitters on the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, who meet on Thursday at Citi Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +101. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, June 26, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and FDSSO
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -120 | +101 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | -191 | +157 |
Mets vs. Braves Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Braves 46%
Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 38, or 67.9%, of the 56 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season New York has won 34 of its 50 games, or 68%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 54.5% chance to win.
- The Braves have won in four, or 23.5%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Atlanta has a mark of 3-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets went 2-1 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Mets have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.95 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Mets Player Insights
- Soto paces the Mets with 19 home runs.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Soto is 11th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has 64 runs batted in while hitting .286. Both lead his team.
- Alonso ranks 13th in homers in the majors, and fourth in RBI.
- Alonso has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a walk.
- Francisco Lindor has 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks while batting .265.
- Brandon Nimmo is hitting .251 with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Braves have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
- The Braves have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Braves Player Insights
- Olson has posted a team-high 15 home runs and has driven in 52 runs.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Olson's home run total ranks 27th and his RBI tally ranks 19th.
- Olson has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, six walks and three RBIs.
- Marcell Ozuna is hitting .247 with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 58 walks.
- Ozuna is 61st overall in homers and 60th in RBI this year.
- Austin Riley paces the Braves' lineup with a .272 batting average.
- Ozzie Albies has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks while batting .224.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Ronald Acuna | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Grant Holmes | - | - | - | - |
Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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