Mariners vs. Blue Jays ALCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 15

Mariners vs. Blue Jays ALCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 15

Updated Oct. 15, 2025 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Game 3 of the ALCS takes place on Wednesday when the Seattle Mariners play host to the Toronto Blue Jays. The Mariners will look to take a 3-0 lead while the Blue Jays hope to get back on track with a win at T-Mobile Park, starting at 8:08 p.m. ET on FS1. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -130 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +109 moneyline odds. Seattle is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +164 odds). A 7-run total has been listed for this game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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'We Believe in Each Other' - Jorge Polanco on Mariners' Game 2 Win over Blue Jays in ALCS

Jorge Polanco spoke with John Smoltz about his amazing batting performance in the Seattle Mariners win over the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of the ALCS.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 15, 2025 at 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to watch on TV: FS1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners -130 +109 7 -111 -109 -1.5 +164 -200

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Blue Jays 48%

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have won 67 out of the 116 games, or 57.8%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Seattle has won 52 of its 82 games, or 63.4%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • The Blue Jays have been victorious in 44, or 57.1%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Toronto has a mark of 24-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have a 1-4 record across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 3.34
K/9 8.7

Mariners Player Insights

  • Cal Raleigh is the Mariners best power hitter, hitting 60 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 125 RBI, both team highs.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Raleigh is first in homers and third in RBI.
  • Julio Rodriguez has 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
  • Rodriguez is 17th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Rodriguez has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .100 with a home run, five walks and three RBIs.
  • Josh Naylor paces the Mariners with a team-best batting average of .295.
  • Eugenio Suarez has 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks while batting .228.
  • Suarez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-212) 1.5 (+132) - 0.5 (+177)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-176) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+150)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-131) - - 0.5 (+327)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-166) - - 0.5 (+231)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-129) - - 0.5 (+325)

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Blue Jays had a record of 2-1.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.6
HR 18
ERA 3.84
K/9 10.5

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .381.
  • Guerrero is 62nd in home runs and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • George Springer has put his power on display as he leads his team with 32 home runs.
  • Springer ranks 17th overall in home runs and 43rd in RBI this year.
  • Ernie Clement is hitting .277 with 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
  • Alejandro Kirk has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .282.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+149)
George Springer 0.5 (-234) 1.5 (+119) - 0.5 (+200)
Nathan Lukes 0.5 (-181) - - 0.5 (+294)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-172) - - 0.5 (+323)
Daulton Varsho 0.5 (-147) - - 0.5 (+212)

'We Believe in Each Other' - Jorge Polanco on Mariners' Game 2 Win over Blue Jays in ALCS

Jorge Polanco spoke with John Smoltz about his amazing batting performance in the Seattle Mariners win over the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of the ALCS.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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