
Mariners vs. Blue Jays ALCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 15
Game 3 of the ALCS takes place on Wednesday when the Seattle Mariners play host to the Toronto Blue Jays. The Mariners will look to take a 3-0 lead while the Blue Jays hope to get back on track with a win at T-Mobile Park, starting at 8:08 p.m. ET on FS1. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -130 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +109 moneyline odds. Seattle is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +164 odds). A 7-run total has been listed for this game.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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'We Believe in Each Other' - Jorge Polanco on Mariners' Game 2 Win over Blue Jays in ALCS
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 15, 2025 at 8:08 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to watch on TV: FS1
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -130 | +109 | 7 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | +164 | -200 |
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Blue Jays 48%
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 67 out of the 116 games, or 57.8%, in which they've been favored.
- This season Seattle has won 52 of its 82 games, or 63.4%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- The Blue Jays have been victorious in 44, or 57.1%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Toronto has a mark of 24-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners have a 1-4 record across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Mariners Player Insights
- Cal Raleigh is the Mariners best power hitter, hitting 60 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 125 RBI, both team highs.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Raleigh is first in homers and third in RBI.
- Julio Rodriguez has 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
- Rodriguez is 17th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Rodriguez has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .100 with a home run, five walks and three RBIs.
- Josh Naylor paces the Mariners with a team-best batting average of .295.
- Eugenio Suarez has 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks while batting .228.
- Suarez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Mariners Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodríguez | 0.5 (-212) | 1.5 (+132) | - | 0.5 (+177) |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 (-176) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Victor Robles | 0.5 (-131) | - | - | 0.5 (+327) |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 (-166) | - | - | 0.5 (+231) |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 (-129) | - | - | 0.5 (+325) |
Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance
- In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Blue Jays had a record of 2-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Blue Jays Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.84 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Blue Jays Player Insights
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .381.
- Guerrero is 62nd in home runs and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
- George Springer has put his power on display as he leads his team with 32 home runs.
- Springer ranks 17th overall in home runs and 43rd in RBI this year.
- Ernie Clement is hitting .277 with 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
- Alejandro Kirk has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .282.
Blue Jays Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+149) |
| George Springer | 0.5 (-234) | 1.5 (+119) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Nathan Lukes | 0.5 (-181) | - | - | 0.5 (+294) |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 (-172) | - | - | 0.5 (+323) |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 (-147) | - | - | 0.5 (+212) |
'We Believe in Each Other' - Jorge Polanco on Mariners' Game 2 Win over Blue Jays in ALCS
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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