Giants vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Kodai Senga will take the mound for the New York Mets against the San Francisco Giants and Willy Adames on Sunday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Giants as -111 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets -108 moneyline odds. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +160 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for the matchup (with -117 odds to hit the over and -104 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Giants-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Giants vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 27, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Giants vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Giants 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Giants 53%, Mets 47%

Giants vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Giants have been favored 63 times and won 34, or 54%, of those games.
• San Francisco has a record of 34-29, a 54% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
• The Mets have come away with 13 wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, New York has won 12 of 29 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in three tries.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Giants and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Giants have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• Rafael Devers paces the Giants with 19 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
• Devers is 27th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Devers carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .293 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Jung Hoo Lee is batting .254 with 22 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 33 walks.
• Lee ranks 212th in home runs and 104th in RBI in the bigs.
• Lee heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with three doubles, a walk and two RBIs.
• Adames is batting .230 with 17 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 50 walks.
• Adames is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Heliot Ramos has a club-leading .270 batting average.
• Ramos has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Giants Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto leads the Mets with 24 long balls.
• Soto's home run total places him 10th in the big leagues, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has 81 runs batted in while hitting .269. Both team-highs.
• Alonso ranks 17th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and fifth in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .252 with 19 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 32 walks.

Mets Team Props

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge Headline 2025 MLB All-Star Game Starters | MLB on FOX

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and other superstars headlined the 2025 MLB All-Star Game starting lineup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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