Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Mookie Betts and the Los Angeles Dodgers square off against the San Diego Padres and starter Yu Darvish on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are favored in this one, at -124, while the underdog Padres have +104 odds to upset. Los Angeles is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SportsNet LA, and SDPA

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 4, Padres 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Padres 46%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 63, or 58.9%, of those games.
• Los Angeles is 60-40 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 55.4% chance to win.
• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (50.9%) in those games.
• San Diego has a win-loss record of 22-24 when favored by +104 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers have a 5-5 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Dodgers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani has gone yard 43 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 80 runs, both totals that lead the Dodgers.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Ohtani is second in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts has 17 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .241.
• Betts ranks 128th in home runs and 74th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Freddie Freeman is batting .301 with 29 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 46 walks.
• Will Smith has a club-leading .306 batting average.

Dodgers Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 2-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Padres have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado leads the squad with a batting average of .294, while pacing the Padres in home runs, with 20 and runs batted in with 72.
• In all of MLB, Machado ranks 42nd in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .267 with 22 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks.
• Tatis is 69th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 109th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .288 with 24 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 26 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .265 with 27 doubles, 10 home runs and 47 walks.

Padres Team Props

Small market teams are ‘dominating sports’, Dodgers in a ‘tailspin’ | The Herd

The Milwaukee Brewers are tied for the best record in the MLB, and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 3-11 in their last 14 games. Colin Cowherd discusses the small market teams that are dominating sports as of late, and if the Dodgers can bounce back from their “tailspin”.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres