Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals will play on Thursday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET, with Matt Olson and C.J. Abrams among those expected to produce at the plate. The Braves are -273 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+221). Atlanta (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for this contest (with +100 odds on the over and -120 odds on the under).

The Braves will start Max Fried (7-1) against the Nationals and Jake Irvin (3-6).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-273	+221	9	+100	-120	-1.5	-161	+137

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Nationals 46%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Braves have been favored 139 times and won 89, or 64%, of those games.
This season Atlanta has won eight of its 12 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -273 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 73.2% chance to win.
The Nationals have been underdogs in 139 games this season and have come away with the win 57 times (41%) in those contests.
This year, Washington has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +221 or worse on the moneyline.
The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves went 4-6 over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	18
ERA	7.38
K/9	10.5

Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s .337 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes 39 homers and driven in 100 RBI.
Among all batters in baseball, Acuna's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him eighth.
Acuna carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .381 with a double, four home runs, six walks and 10 RBI.
Olson's 52 home runs and 131 RBI both lead his team.
Olson is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Olson carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, four walks and three RBI.
Ozzie Albies is batting .270 with 26 doubles, four triples, 31 home runs and 41 walks.
Albies will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .318 with five doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
Austin Riley is hitting .278 with 28 doubles, two triples, 36 home runs and 54 walks.
Riley brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.

Learn more about this Braves vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Nationals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	13
ERA	4.34
K/9	7.4

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas has hit a team-high 26 home runs.
Thomas' home run total places him 34th in the big leagues, and he ranks 39th in RBI.
Abrams is hitting .247 with 25 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
Abrams is currently 102nd in home runs and 118th in RBI in the major leagues.
Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 86 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .281.
Keibert Ruiz has 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks while batting .253.