Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 9, 2024

Updated Nov. 9, 2024 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

SEC opponents square off when the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers (7-1) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-7) on Saturday, November 9, 2024 at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is favored by 25.5 points. The contest has an over/under of 61.5 points.

The Volunteers beat the Kentucky Wildcats, 28-18, in their last contest. The Bulldogs beat the UMass Minutemen, 45-20, in their most recent contest.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7 p.m. ET
Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Tennessee vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of November 9, 2024, 2:49 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Tennessee	-25.5 (-111)	-3704	+1354	61.5	-109	-111

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+25.5)
Pick OU: Under (61.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 40, Mississippi State 15

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Volunteers 44, Bulldogs 18.
The Volunteers have a 97.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 6.9% implied probability.
Tennessee has covered four times in seven matchups with a spread this season.
Mississippi State has won five games against the spread this year, failing to cover four times.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.1 (19)	29.1 (49)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.4 (5)	34.6 (125)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (57)	12 (66)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	14 (35)	11 (68)

Tennessee 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Dylan Sampson	RB	980 YDS / 19 TD / 122.5 YPG / 5.7 YPC 11 REC / 97 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.1 REC YPG
Nico Iamaleava	QB	1,694 YDS (65.4%) / 9 TD / 4 INT 193 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 24.1 RUSH YPG
Dont'e Thornton	WR	17 REC / 401 YDS / 3 TD / 50.1 YPG
DeSean Bishop	RB	372 YDS / 3 TD / 46.5 YPG / 6.9 YPC
James Pearce Jr.	DL	20 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Will Brooks	DB	32 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Joshua Josephs	DL	22 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jermod McCoy	DB	26 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Mississippi State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Davon Booth	RB	472 YDS / 3 TD / 52.4 YPG / 4.5 YPC 9 REC / 125 REC YDS / 4 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	57 REC / 688 YDS / 5 TD / 76.4 YPG
Michael Van Buren Jr.	QB	1,323 YDS (57.1%) / 9 TD / 4 INT 4 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 0.4 RUSH YPG
Blake Shapen	QB	974 YDS (68.5%) / 8 TD / 1 INT 36 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 7.2 RUSH YPG
Stone Blanton	LB	77 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Isaac Smith	DB	67 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Brylan Lanier	DB	40 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Nic Mitchell	LB	49 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD