Alabama vs. LSU Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 9, 2024

Updated Nov. 9, 2024 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 14 LSU Tigers (6-2) are slight, 2.5-point underdogs in a home SEC matchup with the No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) on Saturday, November 9, 2024 at Tiger Stadium. The point total is set at 58.5.

Last time out, the Crimson Tide defeated the Missouri Tigers, with 34-0 being the final score. The Tigers lost to the Texas A&M Aggies, 38-23, in their last contest.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Alabama vs. LSU: Which team will prevail in this must-win game? | Joel Klatt Show

Joel Klatt analyzed the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. the LSU Tigers. He explained why this game is a must-win game for both teams to save their playoff chances. Joel questioned if Alabama’s Jalen Milroe will be top explosive for LSU’s defense to stop.

Alabama vs. LSU Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana
TV: ABC
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Alabama vs LSU Betting Information updated as of November 9, 2024, 1:49 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Alabama	-2.5 (-116)	-140	+117	58.5	-110	-110

Alabama vs. LSU Prediction

Pick ATS: Alabama (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: Alabama 29, LSU 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. the LSU Tigers game on FOX Sports!

Alabama vs. LSU Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Crimson Tide 30, Tigers 28.
The Crimson Tide have a 58.3% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Tigers have a 46.1% implied probability.
Alabama has won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
LSU is 3-5-0 ATS this season.

Alabama vs. LSU: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head meetings, Alabama has won against LSU two times.
The last three times the Tigers have squared off with the Crimson Tide, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the point total on two occasions.
LSU has been outpaced by 19 points in its last three tilts against Alabama.

Alabama vs. LSU: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Alabama	LSU
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.6 (24)	32.8 (49)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	18.6 (15)	22.8 (34)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (57)	10 (41)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	18 (8)	12 (57)

Alabama 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jalen Milroe	QB	1,937 YDS (67.5%) / 13 TD / 6 INT 380 RUSH YDS / 12 RUSH TD / 47.5 RUSH YPG
Ryan Williams	WR	35 REC / 702 YDS / 7 TD / 87.8 YPG
Jamarion Miller	RB	450 YDS / 7 TD / 56.3 YPG / 6.1 YPC 6 REC / 52 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6.5 REC YPG
Justice Haynes	RB	350 YDS / 5 TD / 43.8 YPG / 6.4 YPC 17 REC / 95 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.9 REC YPG
Jihaad Campbell	LB	69 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Deontae Lawson	LB	64 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Malachi Moore	DB	46 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Quandarrius Robinson	LB	20 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK

LSU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Garrett Nussmeier	QB	2,627 YDS (62.5%) / 20 TD / 9 INT 12 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 1.5 RUSH YPG
Caden Durham	RB	402 YDS / 6 TD / 50.3 YPG / 5.6 YPC 14 REC / 204 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 25.5 REC YPG
Kyren Lacy	WR	41 REC / 618 YDS / 6 TD / 77.3 YPG
Aaron Anderson	WR	36 REC / 614 YDS / 4 TD / 76.8 YPG
Bradyn Swinson	DL	34 TKL / 8 TFL / 8 SACK
Greg Penn III	LB	55 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Whit Weeks	LB	46 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Major Burns	DB	37 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK