Tennessee vs. Arkansas Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 12 Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) are double-digit, 10.5-point favorites at home at Neyland Stadium against the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) on Saturday, October 11, 2025. Both teams feature prolific offenses, with the Volunteers first in points per game, and the Razorbacks 22nd. The over/under is 68.5 for the contest.

Facing the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their most recent contest, the Volunteers won 41-34. The Razorbacks lost to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 56-13, in their most recent contest.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Tennessee vs Arkansas Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Tennessee	-10.5 (-108)	-407	+317	68.5	-109	-111

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas (+10.5)
Pick OU: Over (68.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 40, Arkansas 34

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Volunteers 40, Razorbacks 29.
The Volunteers have an 80.3% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Razorbacks hold a 24.0% implied probability.
Tennessee has put together a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
Arkansas has a record of just 1-4-0 against the spread this year.

Tennessee vs. Arkansas: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Arkansas
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	51 (4)	37.4 (34)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	29 (86)	30 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	9 (111)	8 (93)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (42)	6 (70)

Tennessee 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Joey Aguilar	QB	1,459 YDS (65%) / 13 TD / 5 INT 58 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 14.5 RUSH YPG
Chris Brazzell II	WR	31 REC / 531 YDS / 7 TD / 106.2 YPG
Star Thomas	RB	305 YDS / 4 TD / 61 YPG / 5.9 YPC 5 REC / 53 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 17.7 REC YPG
DeSean Bishop	RB	335 YDS / 4 TD / 67 YPG / 6.8 YPC 3 REC / 44 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Arion Carter	LB	41 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Joshua Josephs	DL	22 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Jalen McMurray	DB	22 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Colton Hood	DB	17 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 3 PD

Arkansas 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Taylen Green	QB	1,398 YDS (62%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 441 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 88.2 RUSH YPG
Mike Washington	RB	393 YDS / 4 TD / 78.6 YPG / 6.4 YPC 7 REC / 99 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.8 REC YPG
O'Mega Blake	WR	30 REC / 399 YDS / 3 TD / 79.8 YPG
Rohan Jones	TE	6 REC / 220 YDS / 2 TD / 55 YPG
Quincy Rhodes Jr.	DL	19 TKL / 7 TFL / 5 SACK
Xavian Sorey Jr.	LB	34 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Julian Neal	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Phillip Lee	DL	20 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK