Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8, 2025

Updated Oct. 8, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (2-3) visit the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-4) on Wednesday, October 8, 2025 in a matchup between CUSA rivals at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Middle Tennessee is a 1.5-point underdog. The over/under is set at 49.5.

Facing the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in their most recent game, the Bears lost 27-22. In their last contest, the Blue Raiders lost versus the Kennesaw State Owls, 24-16.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Missouri State vs Middle Tennessee Betting Information updated as of October 8, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Missouri State	-1.5 (-115)	-131	+109	49.5	-115	-106

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction

Pick ATS: Middle Tennessee (+1.5)
Pick OU: Over (49.5)
Prediction: Missouri State 26, Middle Tennessee 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Missouri State Bears vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders game on FOX Sports!

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Bears 26, Blue Raiders 24.
The Bears have a 56.7% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Raiders hold a 47.8% implied probability.
Missouri State has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover twice.
Middle Tennessee has covered just once in five games with a spread this year.

Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Missouri State	Middle Tennessee
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	21.6 (112)	16.4 (128)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	31.6 (110)	31 (106)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (97)	5 (38)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (49)	6 (68)

Missouri State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jacob Clark	QB	1,195 YDS (65.2%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 23 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 4.6 RUSH YPG
Shomari Lawrence	RB	286 YDS / 2 TD / 57.2 YPG / 4.3 YPC 8 REC / 44 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11 REC YPG
Dash Luke	WR	22 REC / 310 YDS / 2 TD / 62 YPG
Ramone Green Jr.	RB	102 YDS / 0 TD / 20.4 YPG / 5.7 YPC 12 REC / 179 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 35.8 REC YPG
Kanye Young	LB	18 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Mitchell Toney	DL	14 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Christian Ford	DB	17 TKL / 0 TFL
Jared Lloyd	LB	13 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK

Middle Tennessee 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Nicholas Vattiato	QB	1,132 YDS (58.9%) / 6 TD / 4 INT -6 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -1.2 RUSH YPG
Jekail Middlebrook	RB	340 YDS / 2 TD / 68 YPG / 5.8 YPC 18 REC / 146 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 29.2 REC YPG
Nahzae Cox	WR	24 REC / 341 YDS / 4 TD / 68.2 YPG
Amorion Walker	WR	11 REC / 130 YDS / 1 TD / 26 YPG
Damonte Smith	DL	9 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Juwon Gaston	DB	10 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
Muaaz Byard	LB	17 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Zeion Simpson-Smith	DL	5 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK