UCLA vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 20, 2025 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 7 UCLA Bruins (22-10) meet the No. 10 Utah State Aggies (26-7) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, tipping off at 9:25 p.m. ET.

The Bruins take the court as 5.5-point favorites against the Aggies. The game features an over/under of 144.5.

Continue reading to get the details before placing bets on the UCLA-Utah State matchup.

UCLA vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 9:25 p.m. ET
Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
How to watch on TV: TNT
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Bruins vs Aggies Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Bruins	-5.5	-108	-112	144.5	-108	-112	-238	+195

UCLA vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Utah State (+5.5)
Pick OU: Over (144.5)
Prediction: UCLA 75, Utah State 71

Learn more about the UCLA Bruins vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

UCLA vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Bruins 75, Aggies 70.
The Bruins have a 70.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Aggies sit with a 33.9% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

UCLA is 18-12-2 ATS this season.
Utah State has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
UCLA has an ATS record of 10-3 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season.
Utah State has been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.

Key Total Facts

The Bruins games have had more than 144.5 points scored on 10 occasions this season.
Aggies games have gone over 144.5 points on 22 occasions this season.
The Bruins and Aggies average 155.7 points per game combined, which is 11.2 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

UCLA has been favored on the moneyline 24 times this season. They've gone 19-5 in those games.
Utah State has won four of the seven games it has played as underdogs this season.
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -238 or shorter, UCLA has gone 12-1 (92.3% win percentage).
Utah State has played as an underdog of +195 or more once this season and won that game.

UCLA vs. Utah State: 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	UCLA	Utah State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	74.8 (144)	80.9 (29)
Points Allowed (Rank)	65.7 (26)	70 (117)
Rebounds (Rank)	9.7 (112)	9.5 (128)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.3 (212)	9 (61)
Assists (Rank)	16.3 (29)	17.4 (8)
Turnovers (Rank)	10 (71)	10.4 (108)

UCLA 2024-25 Key Players

Bruins Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tyler Bilodeau	31	13.6	4.5	1.5	0.9	0.4	1.1
Eric Dailey Jr.	31	11.6	4.1	1.5	1.3	0.2	1.1
Sebastian Mack	32	10	2.2	1.8	0.9	0	0.7
Kobe Johnson	32	8.2	5.9	3	1.7	0.2	1.1
Skyy Clark	32	8	2.9	2.8	1.3	0.1	1.3

Utah State 2024-25 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Ian Martinez	33	16.8	3.5	2.7	0.9	0.3	2.4
Mason Falslev	33	14.9	6.2	3.7	2.3	0.1	1.6
Dexter Akanno	33	8.3	3.3	1	0.7	0	1.5
Deyton Albury	33	7.7	2.4	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.4
Karson Templin	33	7.5	5	0.8	0.5	0.7	0.4