Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 5

Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Feb 5

Updated Feb. 4, 2026 8:28 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (20-1, 10-1 Big Ten) hope to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-12, 1-10 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET.

The Wolverines enter their game against the Nittany Lions as heavy favorites. The Wolverines are favored by 25.5 points. The matchup features an over/under of 163.5.

Keep reading to get all you need to know before betting on the Michigan-Penn State game.

Michigan vs. Penn State How to Watch & Odds

Wolverines vs Nittany Lions Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Wolverines -25.5 -110 -110 163.5 -110 -110 -10000 +2833

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Michigan vs. Penn State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Penn State (+25.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (163.5)
  • Prediction: Michigan 91, Penn State 66

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Penn State Nittany Lions game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Penn State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Wolverines 94, Nittany Lions 69.
  • The Wolverines have a 99.0% chance to claim victory in this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Nittany Lions have a 3.4% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

  • Michigan has covered 10 times in 21 chances against the spread this season.
  • Penn State has put together a 9-13-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • Michigan has covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 25.5-point favorites.

Key Total Facts

  • Six times so far this season, the Wolverines and their opponent have combined for more than 163.5 points.
  • Nittany Lions games have had over 163.5 points seven times this season.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 167.0 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 3.5 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

  • Michigan has gone 19-1 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 95%).
  • This season, Penn State has won one out of the 12 games, or 8.3%, in which it has been the underdog.
  • Michigan has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -10000 or shorter.
  • Penn State has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +2833.

Michigan vs. Penn State: Recent Results

Wolverines vs Nittany Lions Recent Games
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/6/2026 Wolverines -22.5 167.5 -8333 +2000 74-72 MICH
1/27/2025 Wolverines -8.5 160 -420 +325 76-72 MICH

Michigan vs. Penn State: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

Michigan Penn State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank) 90.5 (8) 76.5 (183)
Points Allowed (Rank) 68.9 (62) 78.4 (301)
Rebounds (Rank) 9.8 (136) 7.6 (322)
3pt Made (Rank) 9.1 (87) 7.6 (205)
Assists (Rank) 18.8 (8) 13.5 (221)
Turnovers (Rank) 12.4 (293) 9.3 (31)

Michigan 2025-26 Key Players

Wolverines Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Yaxel Lendeborg 21 14.7 7.2 3.0 1.3 1.3 1.3
Morez Johnson Jr. 21 13.7 7.0 1.3 0.8 1.2 0.2
Aday Mara 21 10.8 7.0 2.2 0.5 2.6 0.0
Elliot Cadeau 21 10.4 2.9 5.3 0.9 0.0 1.8
Trey McKenney 21 10.0 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.6

Penn State 2025-26 Key Players

Nittany Lions Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kayden Mingo 19 14.1 3.6 4.7 2.1 0.1 0.8
Freddie Filione V 22 13.9 3.4 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.3
Josh Reed 22 10.0 3.9 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.8
Ivan Jurić 21 9.4 5.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.6
Melih Tunca 22 8.8 2.1 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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