College Football

Georgia vs. Kentucky: Prediction, odds, picks

Updated Oct. 6, 2023 6:18 p.m. ET

The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (5-0) are heavy, 14.5-point favorites at home at Sanford Stadium against the No. 20 Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) on Saturday, October 7. Both squads feature strong defenses, with the Bulldogs 14th in points per game allowed, and the Wildcats 19th.

Last time around, the Bulldogs defeated the Auburn Tigers, with 27-20 being the final score. The Wildcats' most recent game was against the Florida Gators, and they won by a score of 33-14.

Here's everything you need to know about for the matchup between Kentucky and Georgia — the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and a pick from our wagering expert Chris "The Bear" Fallica.

Georgia vs. Kentucky Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Georgia vs Kentucky Betting Information updated as of October 6, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Georgia	-14.5 (-110)	-613	+436	47.5	-111	-109

Georgia vs. Kentucky Prediction

Pick ATS: Kentucky (+14.5)
Pick OU: Over (47.5)
Prediction: Kentucky 27, Georgia 26

Pick via FOX Sports Wagering Expert Chris "The Bear" Fallica

Georgia’s slow starts have been widely discussed, and at some point, one would expect the Bulldogs to put 60 minutes together. This could be the week as they host Kentucky, which is coming off a thumping of Florida but has scored 13, 0, 13, 3, 17 and 10 in its last six trips to Athens.

I can see a lot of people being on UK getting north of two touchdowns this week, and I’ll happily take the contrarian favorite.

PICK: Georgia (-14.5) to win by 15 points or more

Georgia vs. Kentucky Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Bulldogs 31, Wildcats 16.
The Bulldogs have an 86.0% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wildcats have an 18.7% implied probability.
Georgia has compiled a 0-4-1 record against the spread this season.
Kentucky has won four games against the spread this season, failing to cover once.

Georgia vs. Kentucky: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Georgia has put up two wins versus Kentucky.
The last two times the Wildcats have played the Bulldogs, they have put up a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring has yet to go over the total.
Kentucky has been outpaced by 27 points in its last two tilts versus Georgia.

Georgia vs. Kentucky: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Georgia	Kentucky
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.6 (11)	37.0 (20)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	13.0 (14)	15.2 (20)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (49)	7 (67)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (38)	9 (24)

Georgia 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Carson Beck	QB	1,502 YDS (72.0%) / 7 TD / 2 INT 44 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 8.8 RUSH YPG
Brock Bowers	TE	30 REC / 412 YDS / 3 TD / 82.4 YPG
Daijun Edwards	RB	260 YDS / 5 TD / 52.0 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint	WR	13 REC / 226 YDS / 1 TD / 45.2 YPG
Tykee Smith	DB	18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 3 INT
Smael Mondon Jr.	LB	25 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Malaki Starks	DB	17 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 4 PD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	LB	14 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Re'Mahn Davis	RB	594 YDS / 8 TD / 118.8 YPG / 7.8 YPC 11 REC / 146 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 29.2 REC YPG
Devin Leary	QB	1,129 YDS (56.9%) / 10 TD / 5 INT
Tayvion Robinson	WR	19 REC / 308 YDS / 3 TD / 61.6 YPG
Barion Brown	WR	19 REC / 251 YDS / 1 TD / 50.2 YPG
Trevin Wallace	LB	23 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Maxwell Hairston	DB	28 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
D'Eryk Jackson	LB	20 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Alex Afari	DB	21 TKL / 2.0 TFL