Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

Published Feb. 27, 2026 6:13 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

When the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators meet up at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, Feb. 28 at 7 p.m. ET, William Nylander and Tim Stutzle will be two of the top players you'll want to pay attention to. Here is everything you need to know to know about the Maple Leafs-Senators game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Information and TV Channel

When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
TV: ESPN+
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Information
Favorite	Puck Line	Favorite Puck Line Odds	Underdog Puck Line Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Maple Leafs	-1.5	200	-280	5.5	-135	114	-110	-110

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction

ATS Pick: Senators (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (5.5)
Score Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Insights

In 39 of 59 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to finish above 5.5 goals.
Ottawa's games this season have had more than 5.5 goals 33 of 58 times.
The two teams average 6.5 goals per game combined, 1.0 more than this game's total.
Opponents of these two teams average 6.6 goals per game combined, 1.1 more than this game'scontest's total.
The Senators are 14th in the league in goals scored, compared to the 13th-ranked Maple Leafs.
This match features the league's 23rd-ranked (Senators) and 31st-ranked (Maple Leafs) teams in terms of defense.

Maple Leafs Stats

The Maple Leafs' 190 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 13th in the league.
Toronto ranks 31st in goals against, conceding 202 total goals (3.4 per game) in league play.
Their goal differential (-12) ranks 19th in the league.
The 27 power-play goals Toronto has scored this season (to rank 29th in the NHL) have come on 138 chances.
The Maple Leafs are 18th in the league with a 19.57% power-play conversion rate.
The three shorthanded goals Toronto has scored this season rank 21st among all NHL teams.

Maple Leafs Leaders

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Points	Giveaways	Takeaways	Faceoff Win %
William Nylander	42	18	36	54	47	20	41.1%
Auston Matthews	53	26	23	49	47	25	59.7%
John Tavares	59	22	27	49	56	22	58.3%
Matthew Knies	56	15	33	48	51	17	0%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	59	8	27	35	84	12	-

Senators Stats

The Senators' 189 goals on the season (3.3 per game) rank them 14th in the league.
Ottawa has given up 186 total goals this season (3.2 per game), ranking 23rd in the league.
Their +3 goal differential is 15th in the league.
With 44 power-play goals (on 187 chances), Ottawa is fifth-best in the NHL.
The Senators have the NHL's eighth-best power-play percentage (23.53).
Ottawa has scored three shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).