
Buccaneers vs. Falcons 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 7
Updated Sep. 7, 2025 12:43 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) and Atlanta Falcons (0-0) will play each other in a matchup of two division rivals. The Buccaneers are slight favorites (-1.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 48.5.
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -1.5 | -102 | -118 | 48.5 | -109 | -122 |
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Buccaneers (-1.5)
- Pick OU: Over (48.5)
- Prediction: Buccaneers 28 - Falcons 22
How to Watch Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta
- Game date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: Watch on FOX
- Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Recent Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has totaled four wins versus Tampa Bay.
- Tampa Bay has been outpaced by 23 points in its last five tilts versus Atlanta.
Tampa Bay Betting Info
- Tampa Bay covered 10 times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
- The Buccaneers' ATS record as 1.5-point favorites or more was 5-4 last year.
- Tampa Bay games went over the point total 12 out of 17 times last season.
- The Buccaneers won seven of the nine games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (77.8%).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter, Tampa Bay had a record of 7-2 (77.8%).
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Buccaneers' implied win probability is 53.5%.
Buccaneers Stats (2024)
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 250.4 (4,257) | 3 |
| Rush yards | 149.2 (2,536) | 4 |
| Points scored | 29.5 (502) | 4 |
| Pass yards against | 243.9 (4,147) | 29 |
| Rush yards against | 97.8 (1,663) | 4 |
| Points allowed | 22.6 (385) | 16 |
Tampa Bay's Key Players
Offense
- Baker Mayfield averaged 7.9 passing yards per attempt (sixth in the NFL) and 264.7 yards per game last year, completing 71.4% of his passes on the way to 4,500 total yards (third in the NFL), 41 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 16 interceptions in 17 games.
- He added 378 yards on the ground, with three rushing touchdowns. He averaged 22.2 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
- Bucky Irving had 1,122 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) and eight rushing touchdowns, while averaging 66 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (sixth in the NFL).
- Irving also picked up 392 receiving yards (23.1 per game) on 47 catches (2.8 per game). He was targeted 52 times and is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
- In 14 games played last season, Mike Evans had 74 catches (5.3 receptions per game on 7.9 targets per game) for 1,004 yards and 11 receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL).
- Rachaad White scored three touchdowns on the ground, while running for 613 total yards (4.3 per carry and 40.9 per game).
- White also had 393 receiving yards (26.2 per game) on 51 catches (3.4 per game). He was targeted 57 times with six touchdown receptions.
Defense
- In 2024, Lavonte David recorded 5.5 sacks to go with nine TFL, 122 tackles, and one interception over 17 games.
- YaYa Diaby had 54 tackles, 13 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
- During the 2024 season, Zyon McCollum had 82 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions in 17 games.
- Calijah Kancey had 7.5 sacks as well as 11 TFL and 28 tackles.
Atlanta Betting Info
- Atlanta covered six times in 17 games with a spread last season.
- As a 1.5-point underdog or greater, the Falcons had one win ATS (1-5) last season.
- Atlanta games hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
- Last season, the Falcons were the underdog six times and won one of those games.
- Atlanta entered six games last season as the underdog by -105 or more and were 1-5 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
Falcons Stats (2024)
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 239.3 (4,068) | 5 |
| Rush yards | 130.5 (2,219) | 10 |
| Points scored | 22.9 (389) | 13 |
| Pass yards against | 224.5 (3,817) | 22 |
| Rush yards against | 120.6 (2,051) | 15 |
| Points allowed | 24.9 (423) | 23 |
Atlanta's Key Players
Offense
- Bijan Robinson rushed for 14 TDs last year, and accumulated 1,456 total yards rushing (85.6 per game and 4.8 per attempt).
- Robinson's offensive contributions included 61 catches (3.6 per game) on 72 targets for 431 yards (25.4 per game). He had one receiving TD.
- Drake London had 100 receptions (ninth in the NFL) for 1,271 yards (fourth in the NFL) and nine receiving TDs (ninth in the NFL). He was targeted 158 times and averaged 5.9 catches in 17 games.
- Kirk Cousins threw for 3,508 yards last year, with 18 TDs and 16 INTs. He completed 66.9% of his attempts, averaging 250.6 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
- Darnell Mooney was targeted 106 times, resulting in 64 receptions for 992 yards.
Defense
- Kaden Elliss amassed five sacks to go along with eight TFL, 150 tackles, and one interception in his 17 games in 2024.
- Jessie Bates III posted 102 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and four interceptions.
- DeAundre Alford had 80 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in 2024.
- Leonard Floyd had 8.5 sacks plus eight TFL and 42 tackles for the 49ers last season.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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