Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 12

The Golden State Warriors (13-12) go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-9) on December 12, 2025. The matchup airs on NBCS-BA, FDSN, and NBA TV. The Warriors are currently 4.5-point favorites against the Timberwolves. The game's point total is 228.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, December 12, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: NBCS-BA, FDSN, and NBA TV
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 116 - Timberwolves 114

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Of 25 games so far this year, the Warriors have played 12 with over 228.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• This season, 17 of the Timberwolves' 24 total matchups have gone over 228.5 total points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 4.6 more points per game (233.1) than this game's total (228.5).
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 226.5 points per game, two fewer than the point total in this matchup.
• Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 15 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (60%) in those games.
• Minnesota has been posted as the underdog four times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• Minnesota has won five of its last nine head-to-head matchups against Golden State.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread (5-4) when taking the court against the Timberwolves.
• Versus the point spread, the Timberwolves have not covered in three games in a row, and were the favorite in all of those contests.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 228.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.4 greater than this matchup's total of 228.5.
• In the Warriors' 25 games this season, they have 12 wins against the spread.
• Golden State has been favored by 4.5 points or more eight times this season and are 4-3-1 ATS in those contests.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under in 54.2% of their opportunities this year (13 times in 24 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors average just 1.3 fewer points per game (113.5) than the Timberwolves allow (114.8).
• Golden State has a 7-3-1 record against the spread and an 8-3 record overall when putting up more than 114.8 points.
• This season, the Warriors have a 44.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% lower than the 46.3% of shots the Timberwolves' opponents have hit.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered five times in 10 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in 15 opportunities on the road.
• Looking at over/unders, Golden State hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has eclipsed the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, it has hit the over eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%).
• The Warriors have performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 6-2, compared to going 3-4 away from home.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III puts up 19.5 points, 5 assists and 5.7 rebounds per contest.
• Stephen Curry posts 27.9 points, 4 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Moses Moody averages 11.7 points, 1.4 assists and 3.2 boards.
• Quinten Post averages 7.4 points, 1.3 assists and 4 boards.

Warriors Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• In their past 10 contests, the Timberwolves have two wins against the spread, and are 6-4 overall.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 231.5 combined points in its last 10 games, three greater than this game's total of 228.5.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 8-16-0 this year.
• Minnesota has covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 4.5 points or more (in two chances).
• Timberwolves games this year have eclipsed the over/under 12 times in 24 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves average 7.9 more points per game (119.6) than the Warriors allow their opponents to score (111.7).
• Minnesota has put together a 7-13 ATS record and a 14-6 overall record in games it scores more than 111.7 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.6% rate from the field this season, 2.9 percentage points higher than the 45.7% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
• The Timberwolves have the same winning percentage against the spread (.333) at home (4-8-0 record) and away (4-8-0) this year.
• Minnesota's games have gone above the over/under 41.7% of the time at home (five of 12), and 58.3% of the time on the road (seven of 12).
• As moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-2) than away (7-3).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle is averaging 22.9 points, 7.1 rebounds and 6 assists per game. He's also draining 49.9% of his shots from the floor and 35.6% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.
• Rudy Gobert is putting up 11.1 points, 10.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He's making 73.6% of his shots from the floor (first in league).
• Jaden McDaniels gives the Timberwolves 15.5 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest while putting up 1.2 steals and 1 block.
• Naz Reid is putting up 13.5 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is sinking 45.4% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo is putting up 13.2 points, 4 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He is draining 41.4% of his shots from the field and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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