Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 2

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) battle Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on January 2, 2026 at Chase Center on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. Friday's matchup between the Warriors and the Thunder has no set line.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Warriors 112

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
• The Warriors are 15-18-1 against the spread this year.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 20 of 34 set point totals.
• The Warriors average 115.6 points per game, 8.1 more points than the 107.5 the Thunder give up.
• Golden State is 12-12-1 against the spread and 15-10 overall when scoring more than 107.5 points.
• This season, the Warriors have a 45.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 43.3% of shots the Thunder's opponents have made.
• At home, the Warriors have a better record against the spread (7-6-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (8-12-0).
• When playing at home, Golden State goes over the total 57.1% of the time (eight of 14 games). It hits the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 60% of games (12 of 20).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Warriors have picked up the win in nine of 12 games at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. They have won five of 12 games on the road (.417) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III posts 19.7 points, 4.9 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game.
• Curry posts 28.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 39.4% from downtown with 4.8 made treys per contest (first in NBA).
• Brandin Podziemski puts up 12.5 points, 4.4 boards and 3.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocks.
• Draymond Green puts up 8.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game, shooting 42.2% from the floor and 33.9% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made treys per contest.
• Moses Moody averages 10.8 points, 1.6 assists and 3.4 rebounds.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• The Thunder are 18-16-0 against the spread this season.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under 52.9% of the time this season (18 of 34 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score an average of 122.1 points per game, 8.7 more points than the 113.4 the Warriors give up to opponents.
• Oklahoma City is 18-7 against the spread and 24-1 overall when it scores more than 113.4 points.
• The Thunder are shooting 49.4% from the field, 2.9% higher than the 46.5% the Warriors' opponents have shot this season.
• The Thunder's winning percentage against the spread at home is .579 (11-8-0). On the road, it is .467 (7-8-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Oklahoma City's games have finished above the over/under at home (52.6%, 10 of 19) compared to on the road (53.3%, eight of 15).
• The Thunder's winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .895 (17-2), and away it is .800 (12-3).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Gilgeous-Alexander gives the Thunder 32.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.4 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals (fourth in NBA) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Thunder are getting 18.3 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Chet Holmgren this season.
• The Thunder are getting 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game from Ajay Mitchell this season.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 11.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest. He is making 64.4% of his shots from the field.
• The Thunder are receiving 8.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Cason Wallace this season.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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