Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 26

The Houston Rockets (11-4) will visit the Golden State Warriors (10-9) after victories in three road games in a row. The Warriors square off against the Rockets in a game that Golden State is currently a moderate favorite by 2.5 points. A 224.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Warriors-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ESPN and NBCS-BA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 120 - Warriors 112

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• This year, the Warriors games have finished over 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 14 (out of 19) times.
• The Rockets have played in 11 games this year (73.3% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 224.5 points.
• The Warriors and Rockets average 13.6 more points between them than the total of 224.5 for this game.
• The Warriors and the Rockets have seen their opponents average a combined 1.6 more points per game than the point total of 224.5 set for this outing.
• Golden State has been victorious in seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Houston was defeated in the one game it played as the underdog this season.
• In the last 12 head-to-head matchups, Golden State has a 7-5 record against Houston.
• The Warriors also have a 7-5 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Rockets.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 6.3 points more than the 224.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Warriors have nine wins against the spread in 19 games this year.
• Golden State has been favored by 2.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 5-5-1 ATS in those contests.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 12 of 15 set point totals.
• The Warriors put up only 4.7 more points per game (115.8) than the Rockets give up (111.1).
• Golden State is 7-4-1 against the spread and 8-4 overall when scoring more than 111.1 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.4% from the field this season, 0.1 percentage points lower than the 45.5% the Rockets allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Warriors have fared better at home, covering five times in seven home games, and four times in 12 road games.
• Golden State has eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (57.1%) than away games (66.7%).
• The Warriors have performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 5-1, compared to going 2-4 in road games.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III puts up 19.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 53% from the floor.
• Stephen Curry posts 28.8 points, 3.5 boards and 3.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Brandin Podziemski averages 12.1 points, 2.9 assists and 4.6 rebounds per contest.
• Draymond Green puts up 8.1 points, 5.8 boards and 5.8 assists per contest, shooting 38.8% from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• Moses Moody averages 12.4 points, 1.5 assists and 3.2 rebounds.

Warriors Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 230.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.9 greater than this game's total of 224.5.
• Against the spread, the Rockets are 10-5-0 this season.
• This season, Houston won ATS in its only game as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Rockets games this season have hit the over 66.7% of the time (10 out of 15 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets put up an average of 122.3 points per game, 7.3 more points than the 115 the Warriors give up to opponents.
• Houston has put together an 8-1 ATS record and an 8-1 overall record in games it scores more than 115 points.
• The Rockets have shot at a 48.5% rate from the field this season, 1.3 percentage points greater than the 47.2% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
• The Rockets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .429 (3-4-0). On the road, it is .875 (7-1-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Houston's games have finished above the over/under at home (57.1%, four of seven) than away (75%, six of eight).
• The Rockets' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .714 (5-2), and on the road it is .857 (6-1).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun provides 22.4 points, 9.7 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game for the Rockets.
• Amen Thompson is putting up 17.9 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He's making 48.6% of his shots from the floor.
• Jabari Smith Jr. is putting up 15.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is making 44.8% of his shots from the field and 39% from 3-point range, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Reed Sheppard is putting up 13.1 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. He is draining 49% of his shots from the field and 47.1% from beyond the arc (eighth in NBA), with 2.7 treys per contest.
• Josh Okogie gets the Rockets 7.4 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game while delivering 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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