
Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 29
The New Orleans Pelicans (3-16) will try to snap a three-game road losing skid at the Golden State Warriors (10-10) on November 29, 2025. Saturday's matchup between the Warriors and the Pelicans features the Warriors as strong 9.5-point favorites. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.
Check out everything you need to know about the Warriors-Pelicans game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Warriors vs. Pelicans Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
- TV: NBCS-BA, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and NBA TV
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | -9.5 | -110 | -110 | 226.5 | -110 | -110 | -450 | +350 |
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Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction
ATS Pick: Warriors (- 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 122 - Pelicans 110
Warriors vs. Pelicans Betting Insights
- The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 226.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 13 of 20 games this season.
- The Pelicans games have gone over 226.5 total points scored in 13 of 19 total matchups this year.
- These two teams average a combined 226.6 points per game, 0.1 more points than the total of 226.5 set for this game.
- The Warriors and the Pelicans have seen their opponents average a combined 10.5 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set in this matchup.
- Golden State has been victorious in seven, or 53.8%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
- New Orleans has won in two, or 11.1%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
- Golden State has won its one head-to-head meeting with New Orleans.
- The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Pelicans.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
- Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.2 points in its last 10 games, 3.7 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Warriors are 9-10-1 this season.
- Golden State is 3-2-1 ATS when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
- Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 63.2% of the time (12 out of 19 games with a set point total).
- The Warriors record 115.1 points per game, 7.4 fewer points than the 122.5 the Pelicans allow.
- When Golden State totals more than 122.5 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
- This season, the Warriors have a 45.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.2% lower than the 50.5% of shots the Pelicans' opponents have made.
- The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-2-1) than they have in road tilts (4-8-0).
- Golden State has eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than away games (66.7%).
- When playing at home, the Warriors have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 5-2 (.714). When playing on the road, they are 2-4 (.333) as a moneyline favorite.
Warriors Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 115.1 | 21 |
| Points Allowed | 114.5 | 11 |
| Rebounds | 42.9 | 22 |
| Assists | 27.4 | 8 |
| Steals | 10.1 | 3 |
| Blocks | 4.5 | 18 |
Warriors Leaders
- Jimmy Butler III averages 20 points, 5.6 boards and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 53.1% from the floor.
- Brandin Podziemski posts 12.2 points, 2.9 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
- Draymond Green posts 8.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest, shooting 40.3% from the field and 36% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Moses Moody averages 12.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.
- Jonathan Kuminga averages 13.8 points, 2.8 assists and 6.6 boards.
Warriors Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 21.5 | -120 | 20 |
| Moses Moody | 14.5 | -113 | 12.2 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 14.5 | -108 | 12.2 |
| Buddy Hield | 10.5 | -104 | 7.2 |
| Will Richard | 9.5 | -115 | 8.7 |
Pelicans Recent Trends
- The Pelicans are 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their past 10 games.
- New Orleans' average total over the last 10 games is 5.2 points greater than the 226.5 over/under given for this matchup.
- The Pelicans have played 19 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
- This year, New Orleans has an ATS record of 4-5 in its nine games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more.
- Pelicans games this year have hit the over 11 times in 19 opportunities (57.9%).
- The Pelicans average just three fewer points per game (111.5) than the Warriors give up (114.5).
- New Orleans has put together an 8-2 ATS record and a 2-8 overall record in games it scores more than 114.5 points.
- The Pelicans have shot at a 44.9% rate from the field this season, 1.8 percentage points less than the 46.7% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
- This year, the Pelicans are 6-5-0 at home against the spread (.545 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
- New Orleans' games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (seven times out of 11) than away (four of eight) this year.
Pelicans Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 111.5 | 27 |
| Points Allowed | 122.5 | 26 |
| Rebounds | 42.4 | 24 |
| Assists | 23.7 | 28 |
| Steals | 9.5 | 5 |
| Blocks | 3.7 | 27 |
Pelicans Leaders
- Derik Queen generates 12.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game for the Pelicans.
- The Pelicans are getting 15.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Jeremiah Fears this year.
- Saddiq Bey gets the Pelicans 12.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while putting up 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
- The Pelicans are receiving 21.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4 assists per game from Zion Williamson this year.
- Jose Alvarado gets the Pelicans 8.6 points, 3 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game while posting 1 steal and 0 blocked shots.
Pelicans Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 21.5 | +100 | 21.8 |
| Trey Murphy III | 18.5 | +100 | 19.7 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14.5 | -108 | 12.4 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 13.5 | -115 | 15.1 |
| Derik Queen | 12.5 | +104 | 12.3 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
