Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 29

Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 29

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New Orleans Pelicans (3-16) will try to snap a three-game road losing skid at the Golden State Warriors (10-10) on November 29, 2025. Saturday's matchup between the Warriors and the Pelicans features the Warriors as strong 9.5-point favorites. The over/under is 226.5 points for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Warriors-Pelicans game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: NBCS-BA, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and NBA TV
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Warriors vs Pelicans Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Warriors -9.5 -110 -110 226.5 -110 -110 -450 +350

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Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (- 9.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Warriors 122 - Pelicans 110

Warriors vs. Pelicans Betting Insights

  • The Warriors and their opponent have combined to score over 226.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 13 of 20 games this season.
  • The Pelicans games have gone over 226.5 total points scored in 13 of 19 total matchups this year.
  • These two teams average a combined 226.6 points per game, 0.1 more points than the total of 226.5 set for this game.
  • The Warriors and the Pelicans have seen their opponents average a combined 10.5 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set in this matchup.
  • Golden State has been victorious in seven, or 53.8%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • New Orleans has won in two, or 11.1%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
  • Golden State has won its one head-to-head meeting with New Orleans.
  • The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when playing the Pelicans.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.2 points in its last 10 games, 3.7 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Warriors are 9-10-1 this season.
  • Golden State is 3-2-1 ATS when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
  • Warriors games this year have gone over the point total 63.2% of the time (12 out of 19 games with a set point total).
  • The Warriors record 115.1 points per game, 7.4 fewer points than the 122.5 the Pelicans allow.
  • When Golden State totals more than 122.5 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • This season, the Warriors have a 45.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.2% lower than the 50.5% of shots the Pelicans' opponents have made.
  • The Warriors have done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-2-1) than they have in road tilts (4-8-0).
  • Golden State has eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than away games (66.7%).
  • When playing at home, the Warriors have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 5-2 (.714). When playing on the road, they are 2-4 (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.1 21
Points Allowed 114.5 11
Rebounds 42.9 22
Assists 27.4 8
Steals 10.1 3
Blocks 4.5 18

Warriors Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler III averages 20 points, 5.6 boards and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 53.1% from the floor.
  • Brandin Podziemski posts 12.2 points, 2.9 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
  • Draymond Green posts 8.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest, shooting 40.3% from the field and 36% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Moses Moody averages 12.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Jonathan Kuminga averages 13.8 points, 2.8 assists and 6.6 boards.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jimmy Butler 21.5 -120 20
Moses Moody 14.5 -113 12.2
Brandin Podziemski 14.5 -108 12.2
Buddy Hield 10.5 -104 7.2
Will Richard 9.5 -115 8.7

Pelicans Recent Trends

  • The Pelicans are 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their past 10 games.
  • New Orleans' average total over the last 10 games is 5.2 points greater than the 226.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • The Pelicans have played 19 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
  • This year, New Orleans has an ATS record of 4-5 in its nine games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more.
  • Pelicans games this year have hit the over 11 times in 19 opportunities (57.9%).
  • The Pelicans average just three fewer points per game (111.5) than the Warriors give up (114.5).
  • New Orleans has put together an 8-2 ATS record and a 2-8 overall record in games it scores more than 114.5 points.
  • The Pelicans have shot at a 44.9% rate from the field this season, 1.8 percentage points less than the 46.7% shooting opponents of the Warriors have averaged.
  • This year, the Pelicans are 6-5-0 at home against the spread (.545 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
  • New Orleans' games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (seven times out of 11) than away (four of eight) this year.

Pelicans Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 111.5 27
Points Allowed 122.5 26
Rebounds 42.4 24
Assists 23.7 28
Steals 9.5 5
Blocks 3.7 27

Pelicans Leaders

  • Derik Queen generates 12.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game for the Pelicans.
  • The Pelicans are getting 15.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Jeremiah Fears this year.
  • Saddiq Bey gets the Pelicans 12.4 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest while putting up 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • The Pelicans are receiving 21.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4 assists per game from Zion Williamson this year.
  • Jose Alvarado gets the Pelicans 8.6 points, 3 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game while posting 1 steal and 0 blocked shots.

Pelicans Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Zion Williamson 21.5 +100 21.8
Trey Murphy III 18.5 +100 19.7
Saddiq Bey 14.5 -108 12.4
Jeremiah Fears 13.5 -115 15.1
Derik Queen 12.5 +104 12.3

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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