Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 12

The Minnesota Timberwolves will play the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Timberwolves match up against the Warriors in a game that Minnesota is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The point total for the game is set at 201.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: ESPN

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (201.5)
Score Prediction: -Warriors 112 - Timberwolves 111

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves have played 71 games with over 201.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• The Warriors games have gone over 201.5 total points scored in 71 of 82 total matchups this year.
• These teams average a combined 228.1 points per game, 26.6 more points than the over/under of 201.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.8 points per game, 18.3 more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 62 games this year and has walked away with the win 40 times (64.5%) in those games.
• Golden State has won in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• After the last seven head-to-head matchups, Golden State has a 4-3 record against Minnesota.
• The Warriors have an advantage against the spread as well (5-2) when squaring off against the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 211.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.2 greater than this matchup's over/under of 201.5.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this season.
• Minnesota has an ATS record of 18-22 in its 40 games when favored by 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• The Timberwolves have gone over the point total in 53.7% of their opportunities this year (44 times over 82 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves record 114.3 points per game, just 3.8 more points than the 110.5 the Warriors give up.
• Minnesota is 28-20 against the spread and 36-12 overall when scoring more than 110.5 points.
• The Timberwolves make 46.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (46.5%).
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 17 times in 41 games at home, and they've covered 22 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• Minnesota has hit the over on the over/under in 24 of 41 home games (58.5%), compared to 20 of 41 road games (48.8%).
• The Timberwolves have fared worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 23-13, compared to going 17-9 away from home.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards posts 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Julius Randle puts up 18.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.7 assists per contest, shooting 48.5% from the field and 34.4% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 1.8 assists and 10.9 rebounds per game.
• Naz Reid averages 14.2 points, 6 boards and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Jaden McDaniels averages 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 205.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.8 greater than this matchup's total of 201.5.
• The Warriors are 41-40-1 against the spread this year.
• Golden State has been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 13 times this year and are 9-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the point total 42 times in 82 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Warriors' 113.8 points per game are only 4.5 more points than the 109.3 the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• Golden State is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall when it scores more than 109.3 points.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field, 0.9% lower than the 46% the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
• This season, the Warriors are 18-23-0 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, they are 23-17-1 ATS (.561).
• Looking at the over/under, Golden State's games have finished over less frequently at home (20 of 41, 48.8%) than away (22 of 41, 53.7%).
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .621 (18-11), and on the road it is .680 (17-8).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jimmy Butler gets the Warriors 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green is averaging 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest. He's sinking 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per contest.
• Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game while posting 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Buddy Hield gets the Warriors 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest while posting 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Moses Moody is averaging 9.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is draining 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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