Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 6 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 16

Updated May. 16, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Timberwolves will meet the Denver Nuggets in a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Timberwolves are currently small 2.5-point favorites over the Nuggets. The over/under for the game is set at 206.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: ESPN

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (206)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 112 - Nuggets 108

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• Timberwolves games have gone over 206 points scored, their current matchup's total, 67 times (out of 82) this year.
• This year, 71 of the Nuggets' 82 total matchups have gone over 206 total points scored.
• These teams average 227.9 points per game combined, 21.9 more than the total of 206.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.1 more points per game (216.1) than this matchup's over/under of 206 points.
• Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those games.
• Denver has been an underdog in 10 games this season and has come away with the win four times (40%) in those contests.
• Denver holds a 5-4 record in the last nine head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
• The Timberwolves hold a 5-4 edge against the spread when taking on the Nuggets.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have not covered in four games in a row, and they were favored in three of those games.

FINAL

DEN 70 · MIN 115

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Denver Nuggets

DEN

+2.5

+108

o206

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

-2.5

-127

u206

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 191.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.8 less than this matchup's total of 206.
• The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this year.
• This season, Minnesota has an ATS record of 23-28-2 in its 53 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves record only 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets give up (109.6).
• Minnesota has a 35-18 record against the spread and a 43-10 record overall when putting up more than 109.6 points.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have performed worse at home, covering 18 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
• In home games, Minnesota goes over the total 43.9% of the time (18 of 41 games). It hits the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 56.1% of games (23 of 41).
• The Timberwolves have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 27-10, compared to going 19-5 in road games.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert puts up 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in NBA).
• Karl-Anthony Towns puts up 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3 assists per contest, shooting 50.4% from the floor and 41.6% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards.
• Mike Conley posts 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. Defensively he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Denver has averaged a total of 214.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.1 greater than this game's over/under of 206.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-1 this season.
• Denver has an ATS record of 3-3 in its six games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this year.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over 34 times in 82 opportunities (41.5%).
• The Nuggets put up 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
• Denver has put together a 35-26-1 ATS record and a 53-10 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets' 49.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have given up to their opponents (45%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-0). Away, it is .415 (17-23-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Denver's games have gone over more frequently at home (18 of 41, 43.9%) than on the road (16 of 41, 39%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .800 (32-8), and on the road it is .656 (21-11).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic generates 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• Michael Porter Jr. is putting up 16.7 points, 7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He's making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per contest.
• The Nuggets are getting 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game from Jamal Murray this season.
• The Nuggets are getting 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Aaron Gordon this year.
• Reggie Jackson is averaging 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is making 43.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.9% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 05/17/2024