Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 2

The Oklahoma City Thunder (20-1) will attempt to extend a six-game road winning streak when visiting the Golden State Warriors (11-10) on December 2, 2025 at Chase Center. The Thunder are currently double-digit 11.5-point favorites against the Warriors. The over/under is 222.5 points for the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, December 2, 2025 at 11 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 11.5)
O/U Pick: Over (222.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Warriors 111

Thunder vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• This season, the Thunder games have finished over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 12 (out of 21) times.
• The Warriors have played in 15 games this year (71.4% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 222.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 14.2 more points per game (236.7) than this game's over/under of 222.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 220.3 points per game, 2.2 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• Oklahoma City has come away with 20 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and has walked away with the win three times (42.9%) in those games.
• Oklahoma City has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups with Golden State.
• The Thunder have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when hitting the court against the Warriors.
• In their past three games the Thunder have failed to beat the point spread, and they were the favorites in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 6.3 points more than the 222.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Thunder are 10-11-0 against the spread this season.
• Oklahoma City is 5-5 ATS when favored by 11.5 points or more this season.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 11 of 21 set point totals.
• The Thunder record 8.6 more points per game (122.2) than the Warriors allow (113.6).
• Oklahoma City is 10-6 against the spread and 15-1 overall when scoring more than 113.6 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 48.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.4% higher than the 46.3% of shots the Warriors' opponents have made.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered five times in 10 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• Looking at over/unders, Oklahoma City hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). On the road, it has hit the over six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have taken 10 of 10 games at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. They have won 10 of 11 games on the road (.909) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Ajay Mitchell puts up 15.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Chet Holmgren posts 18.2 points, 8 boards and 1.7 assists per contest, shooting 55.5% from the floor and 35.3% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.7 points, 2.6 assists and 2.9 rebounds.
• Jaylin Williams puts up 6 points, 4.6 boards and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 230.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.2 greater than this game's total of 222.5.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 9-11-1 this year.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 12 of 21 opportunities (57.1%).
• The Warriors average 7.8 more points per game (114.5) than the Thunder allow their opponents to score (106.7).
• When it scores more than 106.7 points, Golden State is 8-6-1 against the spread and 9-6 overall.
• The Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the field, 2.9% higher than the 42.2% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• The Warriors' winning percentage against the spread at home is .556 (5-3-1). On the road, it is .333 (4-8-0).
• Golden State's games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of nine) than away (eight of 12) this season.
• As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (6-2) than on the road (2-4).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III generates 20.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game for the Warriors.
• On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 12.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green gets the Warriors 8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game while posting 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Warriors are getting 12.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Moses Moody this season.
• The Warriors are getting 13.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Jonathan Kuminga this season.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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