Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 31

The Portland Trail Blazers (14-19) will turn to Deni Avdija (25.6 points per game, 15th in NBA) when they attempt to beat Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32.2, second) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (28-5) on December 31, 2025 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are currently enormous 15.5-point favorites against the Trail Blazers. The matchup has a point total of 232.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Trail Blazers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: KUNP and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 15.5)
O/U Pick: Over (232.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 124 - Trail Blazers 109

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 232.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 16 of 33 games this season.
• The Trail Blazers games have gone over 232.5 total points scored in 18 of 33 total matchups this season.
• The Thunder and the Trail Blazers combine to average 6.4 more points per game than the over/under of 232.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 fewer points per game (228) than this matchup's total of 232.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has won 28, or 84.8%, of the 33 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Portland has won in eight, or 38.1%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Oklahoma City has a 2-1 record in the last three head-to-head matchups with Portland.
• The Trail Blazers have a 2-1 record against the spread when playing the Thunder.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.1 points in its last 10 games, 2.4 less than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 33 games this year, they have 17 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 15.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 8-4 ATS in those contests.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over 54.5% of the time (18 out of 33 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder average 122.1 points per game, just 2.0 more points than the 120.1 the Trail Blazers allow.
• When Oklahoma City puts up more than 120.1 points, it is 14-6 against the spread and 20-0 overall.
• The Thunder make 49.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.7 percentage points higher than the Trail Blazers have allowed to their opponents (47.7%).
• The Thunder have done a better job covering the spread at home (10-8-0) than they have in road tilts (7-8-0).
• When it comes to over/unders, Oklahoma City hits the over more consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 10 times in 18 opportunities this season (55.6%). In away games, it has hit the over eight times in 15 opportunities (53.3%).
• At home, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 16-2 (.889). In away games, they are 12-3 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals (10th in NBA) and 0.7 blocks.
• Chet Holmgren posts 18.5 points, 1.6 assists and 7.9 boards per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell averages 14.0 points, 3.6 assists and 3.5 boards per game.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.1 points, 2.3 assists and 3.1 rebounds.
• Jalen Williams averages 17.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 45.2% from the field.

Thunder Player Props

Trail Blazers Recent Trends

• The Trail Blazers are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Portland has averaged a total of 234.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.9 greater than this matchup's over/under of 232.5.
• In the Trail Blazers' 33 games this year, they have 17 wins against the spread.
• Portland has yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 15.5 points or more.
• Trail Blazers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 19 times in 33 opportunities (57.6%).
• The Trail Blazers put up an average of 116.8 points per game, 8.9 more points than the 107.9 the Thunder allow to opponents.
• Portland has put together a 15-10 ATS record and a 13-12 overall record in games it scores more than 107.9 points.
• The Trail Blazers' 44.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.5%).
• Against the spread, the Trail Blazers have performed better at home (9-7-0) than away (8-9-0).
• Portland's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (nine times out of 16) than away (10 of 17) this year.
• The Trail Blazers' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .500 (2-2), and away it is .571 (4-3).

Trail Blazers Recent Stats

Trail Blazers Leaders

• Avdija is putting up 25.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 6.9 assists per contest. He's also draining 46.9% of his shots from the field and 35.5% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per game.
• The Trail Blazers are getting 22.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Shaedon Sharpe this season.
• The Trail Blazers are getting 10.9 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Donovan Clingan this year.
• Toumani Camara gets the Trail Blazers 12.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game while posting 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• The Trail Blazers are getting 5.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Kris Murray this year.

Trail Blazers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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