
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 26
The Oklahoma City Thunder (17-1) will try to continue a nine-game winning streak when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-7) on November 26, 2025 at Paycom Center. Wednesday's game between the Thunder and the Timberwolves sees the Thunder as a solid, 10-point favorite. The point total for the matchup is set at 229.5.
Here's everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- TV: ESPN
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -10 | -110 | -110 | 229.5 | -110 | -110 | -450 | +350 |
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 10)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Timberwolves 110
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights
- Out of 18 games thus far this season, the Thunder have had nine with over 229.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
- A total of 11 Timberwolves games this season (out of 17) have had more than 229.5 total points scored.
- The two teams average a combined 12.7 more points per game, 242.2, than this matchup's over/under of 229.5 points.
- Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.9 points per game, 9.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
- Oklahoma City has been chosen as the favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (94.4%) in those games.
- Minnesota has been named as the underdog three times this season but has yet to come away with a victory in any of those games.
- In the last nine head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 6-3 record against Minnesota.
- The Timberwolves hold a 5-4 advantage against the spread when taking on the Thunder.
- In their previous three contests the Timberwolves have not covered the point spread, and they were the favorite in all of those games.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have gone 9-1 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
- Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 230.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.6 greater than this game's over/under of 229.5.
- The Thunder are 10-8-0 against the spread this year.
- Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS when favored by 10 points or more this season.
- Thunder games this year have hit the over on nine of 17 set point totals.
- The Thunder put up 8.4 more points per game (122.6) than the Timberwolves allow (114.2).
- When Oklahoma City totals more than 114.2 points, it is 9-4 against the spread and 12-1 overall.
- The Thunder are shooting 48.8% from the field this season, 3.3 percentage points higher than the 45.5% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
- Against the spread, the Thunder have played better when playing at home, covering five times in eight home games, and five times in 10 road games.
- When playing at home, Oklahoma City exceeds the total 50% of the time (four of eight games). It hits the over in the same percentage of games on the road (five of 10 contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won eight of eight games when playing at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. They have won nine of 10 games away from home (.900) as a moneyline favorite.
Thunder Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 122.6 | 3 |
| Points Allowed | 105.7 | 1 |
| Rebounds | 45.5 | 10 |
| Assists | 26.5 | 14 |
| Steals | 10.8 | 1 |
| Blocks | 5.6 | 5 |
Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks.
- Isaiah Hartenstein posts 12.1 points, 10.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 67.6% from the field (third in NBA).
- Ajay Mitchell averages 16.1 points, 3.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.8 steals (sixth in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.
- Chet Holmgren posts 18.3 points, 7.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.5 blocks.
- Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 2.4 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.
Thunder Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.5 | -110 | 32.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 19.5 | -122 | 18.3 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 16.5 | -120 | 16.1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 12.5 | -102 | 12.1 |
| Cason Wallace | 9.5 | +100 | 8.6 |
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
- Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 235.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.6 more than the 229.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Timberwolves have played 17 games, with six wins against the spread.
- Timberwolves games this season have gone over the total in eight of 17 opportunities (47.1%).
- The Timberwolves score an average of 119.6 points per game, 13.9 more points than the 105.7 the Thunder give up to opponents.
- Minnesota has put together a 6-11 ATS record and a 10-7 overall record in games it scores more than 105.7 points.
- The Timberwolves' 48.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 6.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (42.3%).
- This season, the Timberwolves are 3-5-0 at home against the spread (.375 winning percentage). Away, they are 3-6-0 ATS (.333).
- Minnesota's games have gone above the over/under less often at home (three times out of eight) than away (five of nine) this season.
- The Timberwolves, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (5-1) than on the road (5-3) this year.
Timberwolves Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 119.6 | 8 |
| Points Allowed | 114.2 | 9 |
| Rebounds | 44.2 | 18 |
| Assists | 25.7 | 22 |
| Steals | 9.4 | 6 |
| Blocks | 5.3 | 9 |
Timberwolves Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 24.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 27.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- The Timberwolves are receiving 10.7 points, 10.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this season.
- Jaden McDaniels is putting up 16.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 53.1% of his shots from the field and 44.6% from 3-point range, with 1.6 treys per game.
- The Timberwolves are receiving 13.2 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.
Timberwolves Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 25.5 | -106 | 27.8 |
| Julius Randle | 20.5 | -122 | 24.2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 13.5 | -110 | 16.5 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 12.5 | -125 | 13.8 |
| Naz Reid | 11.5 | -118 | 13.2 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
