Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 26

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 26

Updated Nov. 26, 2025 3:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder (17-1) will try to continue a nine-game winning streak when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-7) on November 26, 2025 at Paycom Center. Wednesday's game between the Thunder and the Timberwolves sees the Thunder as a solid, 10-point favorite. The point total for the matchup is set at 229.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Timberwolves Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -10 -110 -110 229.5 -110 -110 -450 +350

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 10)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 121 - Timberwolves 110

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

  • Out of 18 games thus far this season, the Thunder have had nine with over 229.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
  • A total of 11 Timberwolves games this season (out of 17) have had more than 229.5 total points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 12.7 more points per game, 242.2, than this matchup's over/under of 229.5 points.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 219.9 points per game, 9.6 fewer than the over/under for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has been chosen as the favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (94.4%) in those games.
  • Minnesota has been named as the underdog three times this season but has yet to come away with a victory in any of those games.
  • In the last nine head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 6-3 record against Minnesota.
  • The Timberwolves hold a 5-4 advantage against the spread when taking on the Thunder.
  • In their previous three contests the Timberwolves have not covered the point spread, and they were the favorite in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder have gone 9-1 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 230.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.6 greater than this game's over/under of 229.5.
  • The Thunder are 10-8-0 against the spread this year.
  • Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS when favored by 10 points or more this season.
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over on nine of 17 set point totals.
  • The Thunder put up 8.4 more points per game (122.6) than the Timberwolves allow (114.2).
  • When Oklahoma City totals more than 114.2 points, it is 9-4 against the spread and 12-1 overall.
  • The Thunder are shooting 48.8% from the field this season, 3.3 percentage points higher than the 45.5% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have played better when playing at home, covering five times in eight home games, and five times in 10 road games.
  • When playing at home, Oklahoma City exceeds the total 50% of the time (four of eight games). It hits the over in the same percentage of games on the road (five of 10 contests).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won eight of eight games when playing at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. They have won nine of 10 games away from home (.900) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 122.6 3
Points Allowed 105.7 1
Rebounds 45.5 10
Assists 26.5 14
Steals 10.8 1
Blocks 5.6 5

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein posts 12.1 points, 10.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 67.6% from the field (third in NBA).
  • Ajay Mitchell averages 16.1 points, 3.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.8 steals (sixth in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.
  • Chet Holmgren posts 18.3 points, 7.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.5 blocks.
  • Cason Wallace averages 8.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 2.4 steals (first in NBA) and 0.3 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.5 -110 32.2
Chet Holmgren 19.5 -122 18.3
Ajay Mitchell 16.5 -120 16.1
Isaiah Hartenstein 12.5 -102 12.1
Cason Wallace 9.5 +100 8.6

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 235.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.6 more than the 229.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Timberwolves have played 17 games, with six wins against the spread.
  • Timberwolves games this season have gone over the total in eight of 17 opportunities (47.1%).
  • The Timberwolves score an average of 119.6 points per game, 13.9 more points than the 105.7 the Thunder give up to opponents.
  • Minnesota has put together a 6-11 ATS record and a 10-7 overall record in games it scores more than 105.7 points.
  • The Timberwolves' 48.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 6.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (42.3%).
  • This season, the Timberwolves are 3-5-0 at home against the spread (.375 winning percentage). Away, they are 3-6-0 ATS (.333).
  • Minnesota's games have gone above the over/under less often at home (three times out of eight) than away (five of nine) this season.
  • The Timberwolves, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (5-1) than on the road (5-3) this year.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.6 8
Points Allowed 114.2 9
Rebounds 44.2 18
Assists 25.7 22
Steals 9.4 6
Blocks 5.3 9

Timberwolves Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 24.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 27.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • The Timberwolves are receiving 10.7 points, 10.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this season.
  • Jaden McDaniels is putting up 16.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 53.1% of his shots from the field and 44.6% from 3-point range, with 1.6 treys per game.
  • The Timberwolves are receiving 13.2 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Naz Reid this season.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Anthony Edwards 25.5 -106 27.8
Julius Randle 20.5 -122 24.2
Jaden McDaniels 13.5 -110 16.5
Donte DiVincenzo 12.5 -125 13.8
Naz Reid 11.5 -118 13.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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