Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 19

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 19

Updated Dec. 19, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Oklahoma City Thunder (25-2) will look to continue an eight-game road winning streak when taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-10) on December 19, 2025 at Target Center. Friday's matchup between the Thunder and the Timberwolves features the Thunder as 6-point favorites. The game's point total is 232.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, December 19, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: Amazon Prime Video
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Timberwolves Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -6 -110 -110 232.5 -114 -106 -270 +220

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 6)
O/U Pick: Under (232.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Timberwolves 112

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

  • This year, the Thunder games have finished over 232.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 13 (out of 27) times.
  • This year, 14 of the Timberwolves' 27 games have had a combined total of more than 232.5 points scored.
  • These teams average 242.4 points per game combined, 9.9 more than the total of 232.5.
  • The Thunder and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 11.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 232.5 set for this outing.
  • Oklahoma City has come away with 25 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Minnesota has come away with one win in the five contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Oklahoma City has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
  • The Timberwolves have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Thunder.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 4.7 points fewer than the 232.5 total listed for this matchup.
  • The Thunder have played 27 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 6-point margin or more 26 times and are 15-11 ATS in those matchups.
  • Thunder games this year have hit the over 55.6% of the time (15 out of 27 games with a set point total).
  • The Thunder record 123 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 114.6 the Timberwolves give up.
  • When Oklahoma City puts up more than 114.6 points, it is 14-6 against the spread and 19-1 overall.
  • The Thunder are shooting 49.6% from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • The Thunder own a better record against the spread in home games (8-6-0) than they do on the road (7-6-0).
  • Looking at point totals, Oklahoma City hits the over more often at home, as it has gone over the total eight times in 14 opportunities this season (57.1%). In road games, it has hit the over seven times in 13 opportunities (53.8%).
  • When playing at home, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 13-1 (.929). When playing on the road, they are 12-1 (.923) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 123 2
Points Allowed 106.1 1
Rebounds 44.6 13
Assists 26.5 13
Steals 10.6 2
Blocks 5.3 7

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.4 points, 6.4 assists and 4.7 boards per game.
  • Chet Holmgren averages 18.9 points, 1.7 assists and 8 rebounds per contest.
  • Ajay Mitchell puts up 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein posts 12.1 points, 10.6 boards and 3.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Cason Wallace averages 8.3 points, 3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 43.2% from the floor and 36.1% from downtown with 1.5 made treys per game.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32.5 -112 32.4
Jalen Williams 18.5 -125 17.6
Chet Holmgren 16.5 -110 18.9
Ajay Mitchell 9.5 -108 14.1
Isaiah Hartenstein 8.5 -120 12.1

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 2.8 less than the 232.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 10-17-0 this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
  • The Timberwolves have hit the over 48.1% of the time this year (13 of 27 games with a set point total).
  • The Timberwolves score an average of 119.4 points per game, 13.3 more points than the 106.1 the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Minnesota is 9-16 against the spread and 17-8 overall when it scores more than 106.1 points.
  • The Timberwolves' 48.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 5.5 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (42.8%).
  • The Timberwolves have been better against the spread on the road (5-8-0) than at home (5-9-0) this year.
  • Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under 35.7% of the time at home (five of 14), and 61.5% of the time on the road (eight of 13).
  • The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .750 (9-3), and away it is .700 (7-3).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.4 8
Points Allowed 114.6 11
Rebounds 43.9 18
Assists 26.6 12
Steals 8.4 13
Blocks 5 13

Timberwolves Leaders

  • Julius Randle is putting up 23 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest. He's also draining 49.2% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest.
  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 28.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • Rudy Gobert gives the Timberwolves 11.6 points, 10.5 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while delivering 0.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (sixth in NBA).
  • Naz Reid is averaging 14 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. He is making 45.7% of his shots from the field and 38.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per contest.
  • Jaden McDaniels gets the Timberwolves 15.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game while putting up 1.2 steals and 1 block.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Anthony Edwards 24.5 -128 28.7
Julius Randle 18.5 -112 23.0
Jaden McDaniels 13.5 -102 15.7
Naz Reid 12.5 -106 14.0
Donte DiVincenzo 12.5 -132 13.9

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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