Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 2 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 22

The Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals. Thursday's matchup between the Thunder and the Timberwolves sees the Thunder as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. The over/under is 216.5 points for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 22, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ESPN and ESPNews

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (216.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Timberwolves 106

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this year, the Thunder have played 60 with more than 216.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• The Timberwolves games have gone over 216.5 total points scored in 50 of 82 total matchups this season.
• The two teams average a combined 18.3 more points per game (234.8) than this matchup's over/under of 216.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.4 more points per game (216.9) than this game's over/under of 216.5 points.
• Oklahoma City has won 65, or 83.3%, of the 78 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Minnesota has come away with eight wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Oklahoma City has a 3-2 record in the last five head-to-head matchups with Minnesota.
• The Timberwolves have an advantage against the spread (3-2) when taking the court against the Thunder.
• The Thunder beat the point spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 224.3 points over its last 10 games, 7.8 more than the 216.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Thunder have 53 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 34-16-3 in its 53 games when favored by 7.5 points or more so far this season.
• Thunder games this year have hit the over on 45 of 82 set point totals.
• The Thunder record 11.2 more points per game (120.5) than the Timberwolves allow (109.3).
• Oklahoma City has a 44-16-2 record against the spread and a 53-9 record overall when scoring more than 109.3 points.
• The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (46.0%).
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 28 times in 42 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in road games.
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than road games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.854) compared to road games (.811).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in NBA) and 1.0 block.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Aaron Wiggins posts 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 207.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 9.3 less than the 216.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 39 wins against the spread in 82 games this year.
• Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-1 in its five games when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this year.
• Timberwolves games this season have gone over the total in 44 of 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Timberwolves average 6.7 more points per game (114.3) than the Thunder give up (107.6).
• When it scores more than 107.6 points, Minnesota is 30-22 against the spread and 39-13 overall.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 46.8% clip from the field this season, 3.2 percentage points above the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Timberwolves have a lower winning percentage at home (.415, 17-24-0 record) than away (.537, 22-19-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Minnesota's games have finished over 24 of 41 times at home (58.5%), and 20 of 41 away (48.8%).
• The Timberwolves' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .639 (23-13), and away it is .654 (17-9).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards provides 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from Julius Randle this year.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 12.0 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is sinking 66.9% of his shots from the floor (third in NBA).
• Naz Reid is averaging 14.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is making 46.2% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per game.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the floor and 33.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per game.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota Timberwolves