Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 20

In Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Oklahoma City is a strong 7-point favorite against Minnesota when the Thunder square off against the Timberwolves on Tuesday. The matchup's over/under is 217.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 20, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ESPN and ESPN2

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 7)
O/U Pick: Over (217.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Timberwolves 107

Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• The Thunder have played 59 games with over 217.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this season.
• A total of 49 Timberwolves games this season (out of 82) have gone over 217.5 total points scored.
• The Thunder and the Timberwolves combine to average 17.3 more points per game than the over/under of 217.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 216.9 points per game, 0.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Oklahoma City has come away with 65 wins in the 78 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Minnesota has won in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Oklahoma City and Minnesota have split the last four games they've played.
• The Timberwolves have a 3-1 record against the spread when playing the Thunder.
• The Thunder beat the spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of those games.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 7.9 points more than the 217.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Thunder have 53 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Oklahoma City has been favored by 7 points or more 56 times this season and are 36-17-3 ATS in those contests.
• The Thunder have gone over the point total in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score 11.2 more points per game (120.5) than the Timberwolves allow (109.3).
• Oklahoma City has a 44-16-2 record against the spread and a 53-9 record overall when putting up more than 109.3 points.
• The Thunder make 48.2% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.2 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (46%).
• The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 28 times in 42 opportunities at home, and they've covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in road games.
• Oklahoma City has exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than road games (50%).
• At home, the Thunder have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 35-6 (.854). In road games, they are 30-7 (.811) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (fourth in league) and 1.0 block.
• Jalen Williams puts up 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 12.0 points, 1.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 10.6 points fewer than the 217.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-43-0 this year.
• Minnesota has an against the spread record of 4-2 in its six games when underdogs by 7 points or more this year.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 44 of 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Timberwolves average 6.7 more points per game (114.3) than the Thunder give up (107.6).
• Minnesota has put together a 30-22 ATS record and a 39-13 overall record in games it scores more than 107.6 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 46.8% from the field, 3.2% higher than the 43.6% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have had better results away (22-19-0) than at home (17-24-0) .
• Looking at the over/under, Minnesota's games have finished over more often at home (24 of 41, 58.5%) than away (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of games at home (23-13) than away (17-9).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Julius Randle gets the Timberwolves 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert is averaging 12.0 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is sinking 66.9% of his shots from the floor (third in league).
• Naz Reid is putting up 14.2 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is draining 46.2% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Jaden McDaniels this year.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Oklahoma City Thunder

Minnesota Timberwolves