Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 25

The Western Conference's top two squads, the Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) and the San Antonio Spurs (22-7), will battle at Paycom Center on December 25, 2025 on ABC and ESPN. The Thunder match up with the Spurs in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a solid favorite by 9.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 233.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Spurs game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Spurs Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 2:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: ABC and ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction

ATS Pick: Spurs (+ 9.5)
O/U Pick: Under (233.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Spurs 112

Thunder vs. Spurs Betting Insights

• Of 30 games thus far this season, the Thunder have had 12 with more than 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• This year, 15 of the Spurs' 29 games have had a combined total higher than 233.5 points scored.
• The Thunder and Spurs average 8.8 more points between them than the total of 233.5 for this matchup.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 220.6 points per game, 12.9 fewer than the over/under for this game.
• Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 30 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (86.7%) in those contests.
• San Antonio has been an underdog in 11 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (72.7%) in those contests.
• San Antonio has won both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Oklahoma City.
• The Spurs also hold a 2-0 edge against the spread when matched up with the Thunder.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 229.5 combined points over its last 10 games, four less than this game's total of 233.5.
• The Thunder are 16-14-0 against the spread this season.
• Oklahoma City is 12-8 ATS when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
• Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 29 opportunities (55.2%).
• The Thunder record 8.3 more points per game (121.9) than the Spurs allow (113.6).
• Oklahoma City is 16-6 against the spread and 21-1 overall when scoring more than 113.6 points.
• This season, the Thunder have a 49.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.7% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Spurs' opponents have hit.
• In home games, the Thunder sport a better record against the spread (9-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (7-8-0).
• Oklahoma City has gone over the total in the same percentage of games at home as road tilts (53.3%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have won 14 of 15 games at home, good for a .933 winning percentage. They have won 12 of 15 games away from home (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.5 points, 6.6 assists and 4.8 boards per contest.
• Chet Holmgren averages 18.2 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 56.3% from the floor and 39.4% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.4 points, 10.6 boards and 3 assists per game, shooting 65.3% from the floor.
• Cason Wallace averages 7.9 points, 2.2 assists and 2.9 rebounds.
• Isaiah Joe posts 12 points, 3 boards and 1.5 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their past 10 games.
• San Antonio has averaged a total of 237 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.5 greater than this matchup's total of 233.5.
• Against the spread, the Spurs are 15-11-3 this year.
• San Antonio has been underdogs by 9.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• The Spurs have gone over the point total 51.7% of the time this season (15 of 29 games with a set point total).
• The Spurs score an average of 120.4 points per game, 13.4 more points than the 107 the Thunder give up to opponents.
• San Antonio has put together a 15-10-2 ATS record and a 21-6 overall record in games it scores more than 107 points.
• The Spurs are shooting 48.6% from the field, 5.6% higher than the 43% the Thunder's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Spurs are 8-3-2 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-8-1 ATS (.438).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of San Antonio's games have finished above the over/under at home (46.2%, six of 13) than away (56.2%, nine of 16).
• When moneyline favorites, the Spurs have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-2) than away (5-2).

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Victor Wembanyama gets the Spurs 23.7 points, 11.8 rebounds and 3.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 3.1 blocked shots.
• The Spurs are receiving 15.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Devin Vassell this year.
• De'Aaron Fox gives the Spurs 21.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game while putting up 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• The Spurs are receiving 18.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7 assists per game from Stephon Castle this season.
• The Spurs are getting 13 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Keldon Johnson this season.

Spurs Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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