Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 1

The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) will look to hold off their closest rival in that conference, the Denver Nuggets (33-16), on February 1, 2026 on NBC/Peacock. Oklahoma City is a solid 7-point favorite against Denver when the Thunder take the court against the Nuggets on Sunday. A 224.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 7)
O/U Pick: Over (224.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 118 - Nuggets 114

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• The Thunder have played 27 games with over 224.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this season.
• The Nuggets games have gone over 224.5 total points scored in 32 of 49 total matchups this season.
• The two teams average a combined 15.9 more points per game, 240.4, than this game's over/under of 224.5 points.
• The Thunder and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 224.5 set in this outing.
• Oklahoma City has been chosen as the favorite in 49 games this year and has walked away with the win 38 times (77.6%) in those games.
• Denver has been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (56.2%) in those games.
• Oklahoma City has taken six of its last 11 head-to-head meetings with Denver.
• The Nuggets hold a 7-4 edge against the spread when squaring off against the Thunder.
• The Thunder failed to beat the spread in their past four games, and were favored in all of them.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 6-4 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 228.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.1 greater than this game's total of 224.5.
• The Thunder have 23 wins against the spread in 49 games this year.
• Oklahoma City has been favored by 7 points or more 41 times this season and are 21-20 ATS in those matchups.
• Thunder games this year have gone over the total in 26 out of 49 opportunities (53.1%).
• The 120.3 points per game the Thunder average are just 4.7 more points than the Nuggets give up (115.6).
• Oklahoma City is 21-11 against the spread and 30-2 overall when scoring more than 115.6 points.
• The Thunder are shooting 49% from the field this season, 2.2 percentage points higher than the 46.8% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
• The Thunder have done a better job covering the spread on the road (11-12-0) than they have in home games (12-14-0).
• At home, Oklahoma City eclipses the total 50% of the time (13 of 26 games). It hits the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 56.5% of games (13 of 23).
• The Thunder have performed better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 21-5, compared to going 17-6 in road games.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 55.6% from the field and 39% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.8 points, 1.6 assists and 8.6 boards per game.
• Cason Wallace averages 7.4 points, 3 boards and 2 assists per contest, shooting 41.2% from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein posts 11.2 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Luguentz Dort averages 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 3.9 rebounds.

Thunder Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.6 less than the 224.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 29-20-0 this year.
• This year, Denver has an ATS record of 4-0 in its four games as an underdog of 7 points or more.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 61.2% of the time this season (30 of 49 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets' 120.1 points per game are 12.1 more points than the 108 the Thunder give up to opponents.
• Denver has put together a 23-14 ATS record and a 28-9 overall record in games it scores more than 108 points.
• The Nuggets' 49.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 6.4 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.2%).
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have had better results away (17-9-0) than at home (12-11-0) .
• Denver's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (14 times out of 23) than on the road (16 of 26) this year.
• This season the Nuggets are 11-4 at home when moneyline favorites (.733 winning percentage). Away they are 13-5 (.722).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Nikola Jokic gets the Nuggets 29.7 points, 12.2 rebounds and 10.8 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Nuggets are receiving 25.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game from Jamal Murray this season.
• Peyton Watson is putting up 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is sinking 49.9% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• The Nuggets are receiving 14.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr. this season.
• Bruce Brown gets the Nuggets 7.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while putting up 1 steal and 0.3 blocked shots.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.