Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 27

The Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) will attempt to extend a three-game winning stretch when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (1-2) on October 27, 2025 at American Airlines Center. Oklahoma City is a solid 8.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Thunder face off with the Mavericks on Monday. A 226.5-point total is set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Thunder-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, October 27, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: KFAA and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 124 - Mavericks 118

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponents went over 226.5 combined points in 45 of 82 games last season.
• The Mavericks combined with their opponents to score more than 226.5 points in 48 of 82 games last season.
• The teams combined to score 234.7 points per game last season, 8.2 more points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams allowed 223 points per contest last year, 3.5 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
• The Thunder had an average total of 227.4 in their outings last season, 0.9 more points than the over/under for this game.
• The Mavericks had a 228.0-point average over/under in their contests last year, 1.5 more points than the point total for this game.

Thunder Recent Trends

• Oklahoma City went 54-26-2 ATS last season.
• Oklahoma City had an ATS record of 28-16-1 when playing as at least a 8.5-point favorite last season.
• A total of 44 Oklahoma City games last season went over the point total.
• Last year, the Thunder put up 120.5 points per game, 5.1 more points than the 115.4 the Mavericks allowed.
• Oklahoma City went 40-14 against the spread and 47-7 overall last season when scoring more than 115.4 points.
• The Thunder made 48.2% of their shots from the field last season, which was 1.3 percentage points higher than the Mavericks allowed to their opponents (46.9%).
• The Thunder covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games last season. They covered 29 times in 42 opportunities at home, and they covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in away games.
• Oklahoma City eclipsed the total more often when playing at home last season, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). On the road, it hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite last year, the Thunder took 35 of 41 games when playing at home, good for a .854 winning percentage. They won 30 of 37 games on the road (.811) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 32.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists last year.
• Jalen Williams posted 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He drained 48.4% of his shots from the field and 36.5% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• Isaiah Hartenstein collected 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He made 58.1% of his shots from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers last season were 12.0 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game. He made 48.8% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Luguentz Dort recorded 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, plus 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks put together a 38-42-2 record against the spread last year.
• Against the spread, as an underdog of 8.5 points or more, Dallas went 5-9 last season.
• A total of 46 of the Mavericks' games last year went over the point total.
• The Mavericks put up an average of 114.2 points per game last year, 6.6 more points than the 107.6 the Thunder allowed.
• When it scored more than 107.6 points last season, Dallas went 33-19-2 against the spread and 34-20 overall.
• The Mavericks' 47.9% shooting percentage from the field last season was 4.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder allowed to their opponents (43.6%).
• Against the spread, the Mavericks performed better at home (19-20-1) than away (19-22-1) last year.
• Dallas' games finished above the over/under 45% of the time at home (18 of 40) last year, and 66.7% of the time on the road (28 of 42).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites was .696 (16-7) last season, and away it was .538 (7-6).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Anthony Davis averaged 24.7 points and 11.6 rebounds per game last season.
• D'Angelo Russell averaged 5.1 assists per game to go with his 12.6 PPG scoring average.
• Klay Thompson hit an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc a season ago.
• Naji Marshall averaged 1.0 steal per game, while Davis notched 2.2 blocks per contest.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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