Rockets vs. Warriors Game 7 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 4

The Houston Rockets will play the Golden State Warriors in a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Rockets are currently small 2.5-point favorites over the Warriors. The game has an over/under of 205.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Rockets-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV:

Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (205.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 114 - Warriors 110

Rockets vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• The Rockets have played 63 games with more than 205.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this season.
• The Warriors games have gone over 205.5 total points scored in 66 of 82 total matchups this year.
• The two teams average a combined 22.6 more points per game, 228.1, than this game's over/under of 205.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 14.8 more points per game, 220.3, than this matchup's total of 205.5 points.
• Houston has been victorious in 41, or 77.4%, of the 53 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Golden State has won in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Golden State has a 6-5 record against Houston.
• The Warriors also hold a 6-5 edge against the spread when playing the Rockets.
• The Rockets did not cover the point spread in their previous three games, and were the favorites in zero of those games.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Houston has averaged a total of 214.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.0 greater than this matchup's over/under of 205.5.
• In the Rockets' 82 games this year, they have 42 wins against the spread.
• Houston has been favored by 2.5 points or more 50 times this season and are 26-23-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Rockets games this year have gone over the total in 46 out of 82 opportunities (56.1%).
• The 114.3 points per game the Rockets put up are just 3.8 more points than the Warriors give up (110.5).
• When Houston scores more than 110.5 points, it is 32-17 against the spread and 37-12 overall.
• This season, the Rockets have a 45.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is one% lower than the 46.5% of shots the Warriors' opponents have made.
• The Rockets own a worse record against the spread at home (20-20-1) than they do in road games (22-19-0).
• Houston has eclipsed the total in 21 of 41 home games (51.2%). It has done better in road games, going over the total in 25 of 41 matchups (61%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Rockets have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.758) compared to road games (.800).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun averages 19.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jalen Green posts 21 points, 3.4 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
• Amen Thompson puts up 14.1 points, 8.2 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the field.
• Fred VanVleet averages 14.1 points, 5.6 assists and 3.7 boards.
• Dillon Brooks averages 14 points, 1.7 assists and 3.7 boards.

Rockets Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 5-5 in their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 213.7 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.2 greater than this game's over/under of 205.5.
• In the Warriors' 82 games this season, they have 41 wins against the spread.
• This year, Golden State has an ATS record of 11-8 in its 19 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over on 42 of 82 set point totals (51.2%).
• The Warriors put up an average of 113.8 points per game, just four more points than the 109.8 the Rockets give up.
• When it scores more than 109.8 points, Golden State is 33-18 against the spread and 39-12 overall.
• The Warriors have shot at a 45.1% clip from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points less than the 45.9% shooting opponents of the Rockets have averaged.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Warriors have a lower winning percentage at home (.439, 18-23-0 record) than on the road (.561, 23-17-1).
• Golden State's games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (20 times out of 41) than on the road (22 of 41) this year.
• The Warriors' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .621 (18-11), and on the road it is .680 (17-8).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Stephen Curry gives the Warriors 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest. He's sinking 50.4% of his shots from the floor.
• Draymond Green is averaging 9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest. He is making 42.4% of his shots from the field and 32.5% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest.
• Brandin Podziemski is putting up 11.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. He is sinking 44.5% of his shots from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• The Warriors are getting 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Buddy Hield this season.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Houston Rockets

Golden State Warriors