Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

The Atlanta Hawks (24-25) will try to continue a four-game winning stretch when hosting the Houston Rockets (28-17) on January 29, 2026 at State Farm Arena. The Rockets play the Hawks in a game that Houston is currently a modest favorite by 4 points. A 222.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Rockets-Hawks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Hawks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: FDSSE and SCHN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction

ATS Pick: Hawks (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (222.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 117 - Hawks 114

Rockets vs. Hawks Betting Insights

• This season, the Rockets games have finished over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 23 (out of 45) times.
• A total of 35 Hawks games this season (out of 49) have had more than 222.5 total points scored.
• These teams average a combined 234 points per game, 11.5 more points than the over/under of 222.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 228.9 points per game, 6.4 more than the point total in this matchup.
• Houston has won 26, or 63.4%, of the 41 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Atlanta has been an underdog in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (50%) in those contests.
• Houston has won both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Atlanta.
• The Hawks have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when squaring off against the Rockets.
• The Hawks have covered for four consecutive games against the point spread, and were the favorite in one of them.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 0.1 points more than the 222.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Rockets are 21-24-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, Houston has an ATS record of 14-19 in its 33 games as a favorite of 4 points or more.
• Rockets games this year have hit the over on 20 of 49 set point totals.
• The Rockets record only 2.1 fewer points per game (116.3) than the Hawks give up (118.4).
• Houston is 12-8 against the spread and 14-6 overall when scoring more than 118.4 points.
• The Rockets make 47.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is the same percentage the Hawks have allowed to their opponents.
• The Rockets have done a better job covering the spread in away games (13-12-0) than they have in home games (8-12-0).
• In home games, Houston exceeds the total 35% of the time (seven of 20 games). It hits the over more consistently in away games, exceeding the total in 52% of games (13 of 25).
• The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 16-3 (.842). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 10-12 (.455).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant puts up 26.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.0 block.
• Amen Thompson averages 18.3 points, 7.7 boards and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 50.9% from the field.
• Alperen Sengun puts up 21.4 points, 9.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.3% from the floor.
• Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 15.0 points, 6.9 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.0% from the floor and 34.7% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Reed Sheppard puts up 12.8 points, 2.6 boards and 3.0 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks.

Rockets Player Props

Hawks Recent Trends

• The Hawks have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Atlanta's average total over the last 10 games is 10.5 points greater than the 222.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Hawks' 49 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread.
• Atlanta is 12-4 ATS when underdogs by 4 points or more this season.
• Hawks games this season have gone over the point total 51% of the time (25 out of 49 games with a set point total).
• The Hawks put up an average of 117.7 points per game, 7.2 more points than the 110.5 the Rockets give up to opponents.
• Atlanta has put together a 21-15 ATS record and a 21-15 overall record in games it scores more than 110.5 points.
• The Hawks are shooting 47.5% from the field, 1.3% higher than the 46.2% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
• The Hawks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .409 (9-13-0). Away, it is .593 (16-11-0).
• Atlanta's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (10 times out of 22) than away (15 of 27) this year.
• The Hawks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .364 (4-7), and away it is .583 (7-5).

Hawks Recent Stats

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.9 points, 10.5 rebounds and 7.9 assists per contest. He's also draining 50.3% of his shots from the floor and 35.6% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
• The Hawks are receiving 16.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game from Onyeka Okongwu this season.
• The Hawks are receiving 11.9 points, 6.6 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game from Dyson Daniels this year.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He is draining 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest (10th in NBA).
• The Hawks are receiving 18.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game from CJ McCollum this season.

Hawks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.