Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 29

Updated Jan. 29, 2026 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Atlanta Hawks (24-25) will try to continue a four-game winning stretch when hosting the Houston Rockets (28-17) on January 29, 2026 at State Farm Arena. The Rockets play the Hawks in a game that Houston is currently a modest favorite by 4 points. A 222.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Rockets-Hawks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Hawks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and SCHN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Rockets vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Rockets -4 -110 -110 222.5 -110 -110 -172 +144

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Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction

ATS Pick: Hawks (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (222.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 117 - Hawks 114

Rockets vs. Hawks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rockets games have finished over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 23 (out of 45) times.
  • A total of 35 Hawks games this season (out of 49) have had more than 222.5 total points scored.
  • These teams average a combined 234 points per game, 11.5 more points than the over/under of 222.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 228.9 points per game, 6.4 more than the point total in this matchup.
  • Houston has won 26, or 63.4%, of the 41 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • Atlanta has been an underdog in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (50%) in those contests.
  • Houston has won both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Atlanta.
  • The Hawks have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when squaring off against the Rockets.
  • The Hawks have covered for four consecutive games against the point spread, and were the favorite in one of them.

Rockets Recent Trends

  • The Rockets are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 0.1 points more than the 222.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • The Rockets are 21-24-0 against the spread this season.
  • This season, Houston has an ATS record of 14-19 in its 33 games as a favorite of 4 points or more.
  • Rockets games this year have hit the over on 20 of 49 set point totals.
  • The Rockets record only 2.1 fewer points per game (116.3) than the Hawks give up (118.4).
  • Houston is 12-8 against the spread and 14-6 overall when scoring more than 118.4 points.
  • The Rockets make 47.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is the same percentage the Hawks have allowed to their opponents.
  • The Rockets have done a better job covering the spread in away games (13-12-0) than they have in home games (8-12-0).
  • In home games, Houston exceeds the total 35% of the time (seven of 20 games). It hits the over more consistently in away games, exceeding the total in 52% of games (13 of 25).
  • The Rockets have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 16-3 (.842). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 10-12 (.455).

Rockets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.3 15
Points Allowed 110.5 4
Rebounds 48.9 1
Assists 24.9 23
Steals 8.8 9
Blocks 5.6 5

Rockets Leaders

  • Kevin Durant puts up 26.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.0 block.
  • Amen Thompson averages 18.3 points, 7.7 boards and 5.4 assists per game, shooting 50.9% from the field.
  • Alperen Sengun puts up 21.4 points, 9.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game, shooting 51.3% from the floor.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 15.0 points, 6.9 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.0% from the floor and 34.7% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Reed Sheppard puts up 12.8 points, 2.6 boards and 3.0 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks.

Rockets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Kevin Durant 25.5 -108 26.4
Alperen Sengun 20.5 -114 21.4
Amen Thompson 18.5 -114 18.3
Jabari Smith 13.5 -118 15.0
Reed Sheppard 11.5 -114 12.8

Hawks Recent Trends

  • The Hawks have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Atlanta's average total over the last 10 games is 10.5 points greater than the 222.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • In the Hawks' 49 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread.
  • Atlanta is 12-4 ATS when underdogs by 4 points or more this season.
  • Hawks games this season have gone over the point total 51% of the time (25 out of 49 games with a set point total).
  • The Hawks put up an average of 117.7 points per game, 7.2 more points than the 110.5 the Rockets give up to opponents.
  • Atlanta has put together a 21-15 ATS record and a 21-15 overall record in games it scores more than 110.5 points.
  • The Hawks are shooting 47.5% from the field, 1.3% higher than the 46.2% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
  • The Hawks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .409 (9-13-0). Away, it is .593 (16-11-0).
  • Atlanta's games have finished above the over/under less often at home (10 times out of 22) than away (15 of 27) this year.
  • The Hawks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .364 (4-7), and away it is .583 (7-5).

Hawks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 117.7 7
Points Allowed 118.4 24
Rebounds 42.1 25
Assists 31.0 1
Steals 9.4 5
Blocks 4.7 16

Hawks Leaders

  • Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.9 points, 10.5 rebounds and 7.9 assists per contest. He's also draining 50.3% of his shots from the floor and 35.6% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
  • The Hawks are receiving 16.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game from Onyeka Okongwu this season.
  • The Hawks are receiving 11.9 points, 6.6 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game from Dyson Daniels this year.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He is draining 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest (10th in NBA).
  • The Hawks are receiving 18.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game from CJ McCollum this season.

Hawks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jalen Johnson 22.5 -108 22.9
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18.5 -125 20.3
Onyeka Okongwu 16.5 -106 16.3
Dyson Daniels 12.5 -128 11.9
Luke Kennard 8.5 -102 7.9

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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