Grizzlies vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 28

Grizzlies vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 28

Updated Dec. 28, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Washington Wizards (6-23) play the Memphis Grizzlies (15-16) on December 28, 2025 at Capital One Arena. Sunday's game between the Grizzlies and the Wizards sees the Grizzlies as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. The point total for the game is 240.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Grizzlies-Wizards game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Grizzlies vs. Wizards Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
  • TV: FDSSE and MNMT
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Grizzlies vs Wizards Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Grizzlies -7.5 -114 -106 240.5 -106 -114 -300 +245

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Grizzlies vs. Wizards Prediction

ATS Pick: Wizards (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (240.5)
Score Prediction: Grizzlies 121 - Wizards 114

Grizzlies vs. Wizards Betting Insights

  • This year, the Grizzlies games have gone over 240.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, nine (out of 31) times.
  • The Wizards games have gone over 240.5 total points scored in 16 of 29 total matchups this season.
  • These teams average a combined 228.9 points per game, 11.6 fewer points than the total of 240.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Grizzlies and the Wizards have seen their opponents average a combined 1.1 more points per game than the point total of 240.5 set for this outing.
  • Memphis has been chosen as the favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (76.9%) in those games.
  • Washington has been victorious in six, or 22.2%, of the 27 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • After the last one head-to-head matchups, Washington has a 1-0 record against Memphis.
  • The Wizards also have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Grizzlies.

Grizzlies Recent Trends

  • The Grizzlies have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Memphis and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.5 points in its last 10 games, 8.0 less than the 240.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Grizzlies have played 31 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
  • Memphis has yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.
  • Grizzlies games this year have hit the over 41.4% of the time (12 out of 29 games with a set point total).
  • The 115.4 points per game the Grizzlies put up are 10.4 fewer points than the Wizards allow (125.8).
  • When Memphis scores more than 125.8 points, it is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • This season, the Grizzlies have a 45.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.0% lower than the 47.5% of shots the Wizards' opponents have knocked down.
  • At home, the Grizzlies have a worse record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (8-8-0).
  • Memphis has eclipsed the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 15 home matchups (46.7%). On the road, it has hit the over in five of 16 games (31.2%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Grizzlies have won a lower percentage of their games when playing at home (.667) compared to road games (1.000).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 115.4 19
Points Allowed 115.8 15
Rebounds 46.1 4
Assists 29.1 6
Steals 7.9 22
Blocks 4.9 13

Grizzlies Leaders

  • Santi Aldama averages 14.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. puts up 18.0 points, 5.4 boards and 2.0 assists per contest, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 36.4% from downtown with 1.7 made treys per contest.
  • Cedric Coward posts 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 33.1% from downtown with 1.5 made treys per game.
  • Cam Spencer averages 12.5 points, 4.7 assists and 2.4 boards.
  • Jock Landale puts up 11.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 51.6% from the field and 41.0% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.

Grizzlies Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jaren Jackson Jr. 19.5 -112 18.0
Ja Morant 17.5 -132 17.7
Santi Aldama 15.5 -106 14.3
Cam Spencer 13.5 -120 12.5
Cedric Coward 12.5 -104 13.6

Wizards Recent Trends

  • The Wizards have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall in their past 10 games.
  • Washington and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.0 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.5 less than the 240.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Wizards are 11-18-0 against the spread this year.
  • Washington is 11-12 ATS when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this season.
  • Wizards games this season have gone over the total in 17 of 29 opportunities (58.6%).
  • The Wizards' 113.5 points per game are only 2.3 fewer points than the 115.8 the Grizzlies allow to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 115.8 points, Washington is 8-3 against the spread and 5-6 overall.
  • The Wizards have shot at a 46.3% rate from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points less than the 46.6% shooting opponents of the Grizzlies have averaged.
  • The Wizards' winning percentage against the spread at home is .385 (5-8-0). Away, it is .375 (6-10-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Washington's games have gone over more often at home (10 of 13, 76.9%) than away (seven of 16, 43.8%).

Wizards Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 113.5 23
Points Allowed 125.8 29
Rebounds 44.0 18
Assists 25.5 21
Steals 6.7 30
Blocks 5.7 4

Wizards Leaders

  • CJ McCollum puts up 18.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game for the Wizards.
  • The Wizards are receiving 15.0 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game from Kyshawn George this season.
  • The Wizards are receiving 18.2 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game from Alex Sarr this year.
  • Bub Carrington is averaging 9.0 points, 3.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. He is sinking 40.0% of his shots from the floor and 43.2% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per contest.
  • Marvin Bagley III is averaging 10.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is draining 62.7% of his shots from the field.

Wizards Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
CJ McCollum 18.5 -122 18.7
Kyshawn George 14.5 -120 15.0
Tre Johnson 10.5 -128 11.5
Bilal Coulibaly 10.5 -102 9.6
Marvin Bagley III 9.5 -122 10.0

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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