Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees play Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the second game of a three-game series. The Mets are listed as +120 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Yankees (-143). The Yankees are a 1.5-run favorite (at +113 odds). The contest's total has been set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets.

Yankees vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, SNY, and YES

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 8, Yankees 7
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Mets 49%

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 78 times and won 45, or 57.7%, of those games.
• This season, the Yankees have won 36 of their 57 games, or 63.2%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (38.5%) in those games.
• This year, the Mets have won three of nine games when listed as at least +120 or better on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 3-6 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge leads the Yankees with 32 home runs and 71 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .365.
• Judge is second in homers and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Judge carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .571 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and four RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .269 with 15 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
• Bellinger is 51st in home runs and 54th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Bellinger has 10 games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .356 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .282 with 18 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .248 with seven doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 39 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Mets have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto paces the Mets with 21 long balls.
• Among all batters in the majors, Soto is ninth in homers and 34th in RBI.
• Soto carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has a club-leading 68 RBI and .287 batting average.
• Alonso ranks 19th overall in home runs and sixth in RBI this season.
• Francisco Lindor has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 29 walks while batting .258.
• Nimmo has 16 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks while batting .254.

Mets Team Props

Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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