Yankees vs. Blue Jays ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

The ALDS resumes Tuesday at 8:08 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees host the Toronto Blue Jays live on FS1 from Yankee Stadium. The Blue Jays would advance to the ALCS with a win while the Yankees will fight to avoid a sweep. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -174 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +145 moneyline odds. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8-run over/under is set for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Derek Jeter is missing his parent teacher conference due to Tigers-Mariners rain delay 😂

Derek Jeter got a call during the show after missing his kids' parent-teacher conference during the Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays rain delay.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 7, 2025 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: FS1

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 53%, Blue Jays 47%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have been favorites in 143 games this season and won 86 (60.1%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 53 games this season favored by -174 or more and is 39-14 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 63.5% chance to win.
• The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 75 games this year and have walked away with the win 43 times (57.3%) in those games.
• This year, Toronto has won four of seven games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 7-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Yankees have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (53), runs batted in (114) and has put up a team-high batting average of .331.
• Judge is fourth in home runs and fifth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Judge carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .444 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks.
• Bellinger is 34th in homers and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Trent Grisham has nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks while hitting .235.
• Ben Rice has 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .255.

Yankees Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Blue Jays have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks while hitting .292.
• In all of MLB, Guerrero ranks 62nd in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two home runs and seven RBIs.
• George Springer's 32 home runs are a team-high total.
• Springer is 17th in homers and 43rd in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Ernie Clement is batting .277 with 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Alejandro Kirk is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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