
Yankees vs. Blue Jays ALDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 5
The New York Yankees will visit the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of the ALDS on Sunday at 4:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Rogers Centre. The Yankees will look to bounce back after falling behind in the series in Game 1. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -154, while the underdog Blue Jays have +129 odds to play spoiler. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +109 odds). The game's total is set at 8 runs.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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‘Cannot forget who he is’ – David Ortiz, ‘MLB on FOX’ crew on Yankees' Aaron Judge finding rhythm
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 4:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
- How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -154 | +129 | 8 | -112 | -109 | -1.5 | +109 | -130 |
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction
- Score Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Yankees 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Blue Jays 48%
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won 86, or 60.6%, of the 142 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season New York has won 58 of its 85 games, or 68.2%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- The Blue Jays have won in 42, or 56.8%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Toronto has been victorious five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 43.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
- The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 8-1 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Yankees' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Yankees Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Yankees Player Insights
- Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.331), home runs (53), and RBI (114).
- In all of MLB, Judge is fourth in homers and fifth in RBI.
- Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks.
- Bellinger ranks 34th in home runs in baseball, and 17th in RBI.
- Trent Grisham is batting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
- Ben Rice is batting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.
Yankees Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 (-173) | 1.5 (+121) | - | 0.5 (+141) |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-204) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+177) |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 (-258) | 1.5 (-111) | - | 0.5 (+117) |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 (-173) | - | - | 0.5 (+209) |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 (-103) | - | - | 0.5 (+275) |
Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Blue Jays have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Blue Jays Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Blue Jays Player Insights
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .381.
- In all of MLB, Guerrero ranks 62nd in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
- George Springer has put his power on display as he paces his team with 32 home runs.
- Springer is currently 17th in homers and 43rd in RBI in the major leagues.
- Ernie Clement has 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks while hitting .277.
- Alejandro Kirk is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks.
Blue Jays Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 (-228) | 1.5 (+133) | - | 0.5 (+189) |
| George Springer | 0.5 (-203) | 1.5 (+146) | - | 0.5 (+229) |
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+136) | - | 0.5 (+181) |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 (-133) | - | - | 0.5 (+329) |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 (-165) | - | - | 0.5 (+282) |
‘Cannot forget who he is’ – David Ortiz, ‘MLB on FOX’ crew on Yankees' Aaron Judge finding rhythm
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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