Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 7

Updated May. 7, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

Ty France and Ryan O'Hearn will be among the star attractions when the Minnesota Twins face the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, at Target Field. The favored Twins have -139 moneyline odds against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +118. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +147 odds). The total for the matchup is listed at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to watch on TV: MNNT and MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -139 +118 9 -104 -116 -1.5 +147 -176

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 4, Orioles 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 60%, Orioles 40%

Twins vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 12 (50%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 7-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have been victorious in six, or 40%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +118 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins were favored on the moneyline for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Twins' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 2.58
K/9 10.2

Twins Player Insights

  • Byron Buxton's eight long balls and 22 RBI both lead the Twins, on top of his team-high .267 average.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Buxton is 55th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
  • Buxton has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .357 with a double, a triple, three home runs, two walks and 10 RBIs.
  • France is hitting .254 with eight doubles, three home runs and nine walks.
  • France is 134th in home runs and 48th in RBI on the season.
  • Trevor Larnach is batting .230 with two doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
  • Larnach will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two walks and two RBIs.
  • Ryan Jeffers is batting .277 with eight doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.
  • Jeffers brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBIs.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+180)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+225)
Ty France 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+180)

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 11
ERA 6.07
K/9 8.2

Orioles Player Insights

  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (21).
  • Mullins ranks 32nd in home runs and 38th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • O'Hearn's seven home runs lead his team.
  • O'Hearn is 32nd overall in homers and 119th in RBI this year.
  • Adley Rutschman has four doubles, four home runs and 18 walks while hitting .211.
  • Jackson Holliday has a double, a triple, four home runs and seven walks while hitting .272.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+150)
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+150)
Ramon Laureano 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+195)

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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