Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will play on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET, with Bryce Harper and Francisco Lindor among those expected to deliver at the plate. The Phillies have been listed as -135 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Mets (+114). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The contest's total has been set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 9, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and SNY

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Mets 45%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 116 games this season and won 71 (61.2%) of those contests.
• This season Philadelphia has won 56 of its 86 games, or 65.1%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mets have come away with 18 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, New York has won six of 17 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 4-3 over the seven games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Phillies have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 49 home runs and 120 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Schwarber's home run total places him second, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Harper is batting .261 with 30 doubles, 24 home runs and 58 walks.
• Harper is 41st in home runs and 70th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Bryson Stott is batting .250 with 20 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 48 walks.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .253 with 25 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 29 walks.
• Castellanos takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a triple, two walks and two RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
• The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto paces the Mets with 38 home runs.
• Soto's home run total puts him seventh in MLB, and he is 13th in RBI.
• Lindor is hitting .267 with 32 doubles, 26 home runs and 54 walks.
• Lindor is 33rd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 41st in RBI.
• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 113 runs batted in while generating a team-high batting average of .269.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .263 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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