
Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 2
The St. Louis Cardinals and Brendan Donovan hit the field at PETCO Park against Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres on Saturday. The Cardinals have been listed as +156 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Padres (-188). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8-run total is set in the matchup.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, August 2, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: SDPA and FDSMW
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -188 | +156 | 8 | -118 | -102 | -1.5 | +116 | -139 |
Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 4, Cardinals 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Cardinals 45%
Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 34, or 59.6%, of those games.
- San Diego is 8-4 this season when entering a game favored by -188 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- The Cardinals have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (48.2%) in those contests.
- This season, St. Louis has been victorious one time in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 3-2 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
- The Padres have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Padres Player Insights
- Machado has racked up a team-high batting average of .302, and paces the Padres in home runs (20) and runs batted in (71).
- Among all MLB hitters, Machado ranks eighth in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
- Machado carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .452 with four doubles, two home runs and 11 RBIs.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .267 with 18 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 61 walks.
- Tatis ranks 55th in home runs and 108th in RBI in the majors.
- Luis Arraez is batting .297 with 20 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 22 walks.
- Arraez is on a 14-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .425 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
- Xander Bogaerts has 24 doubles, seven home runs and 44 walks while batting .267.
- Bogaerts is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Manny Machado | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+115) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+140) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
Cardinals Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Cardinals have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 2-6-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Cardinals have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.
Cardinals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Cardinals Player Insights
- Donovan has 24 doubles, nine home runs and 39 walks while batting .282.
- In all of the majors, Donovan is 156th in home runs and 129th in RBI.
- Alec Burleson has a club-best .284 batting average.
- Burleson is currently 89th in home runs and 83rd in RBI in the major leagues.
- Willson Contreras has been solid source of run production for the Cardinals with 15 long balls and 62 runs batted in.
- Masyn Winn has 23 doubles, seven home runs and 27 walks while hitting .271.
Cardinals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Alec Burleson | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Michael McGreevy | - | - | - | - |
Cardinals vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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